early and finishing lay in and mourners in i: “i south africa have been paying their respects to the late archbishop desmond tutu. now on bbc news, it's dateline london with shaun ley. hello, and welcome to the second of our seasonal editions of dateline london. last weekend, we talked about the the past. traditionally this is the time when fortunes are told and predictions made. our three guests need no crystal ball to rub. luckily they bring decades ofjudgment and journalism to the task of foretelling 2022. bronwyn was for an editor of the times newspaper and now leads the institute for government, making government better it hopes. marc is an economics journalist, and in studio with me is lyse doucet, bbc�*s chief international thank you for coming again to talk about 2022. now let's begin. with the economy and the global economy. unlike 2020 and 2021, we have a year now where it looks like everybody is going to be travelling and working again pretty much, the global supply system is shuttering, but its functional. what are the challenges you think that lie ahead in the year to come? to meet the challenge will be the rise of inflation and also the higher interest rate, which go together, which the central banks will decide they might be settled. because the outlook is quite murky on the supply side. of course you have a lot of bottlenecks, wage inflation, raw materials, construction, the ports, all the problems. and then you have high prices of energy, gas and electricity, due to geopolitical tension, due to problems of delivery which might be worse. and then on top of that, you have, of course, problems with the public finances because if you have higher inflation and higher interest rates, the service of your debt which is much bigger now because of covid and the help to the economy will be much higher. and then on the demand side, we don't know what consumers will do. will they continue to spend like they did because they used savings accumulated during lockdown, or will they be more wary because of inflation and interest rates? and also the other side is the problem of the crisis of the property, the real estate. because in the us and in the uk in particular, growth depends on consumption and real estate. all this makes it really difficult to predict, but whatever happens, unfortunately, there will be a bumpy ride. bronwyn, 2022, unlike the yearjust going, could be seen as a sort of a year in which perhaps it's not so much a matter of life and death, covid, but a matter of diminishing resources because it is still taking up so much of our economic activity and obviously diverting it or displacing it, but also its going to continue to be presumably a significant health challenge. i think that's right. squeezing out a lot of things, the sheer cost of dealing with covid. i think we've seen in the uk it squeezing out the social care budget, that's the care for the elderly and also the prime minister came in about this and yet the pot of money that he put aside for this is almost entirely going to be squeezed up by the health service and indeed by coronavirus, much of it, squeezing out education as well and squeezing out lots of things. so i think we are seeing that pain on national finances and we've just been discussing, but i wonder if there could be just a bit more hope over inflation. we absolutely have seen those pressures of the moment, but it's possible that some of those are going to prove quite short—lived. that has to be the hope that some of the supply shortages we have seen exacerbated by coronavirus and by brexit, but those will ease. that some of the pressures of coronavirus on that will ease and some of the political things that have pushed up energy prices will ease, and i think if you are going to look for hope, it's on the inflation side, but the national finances really are under strain and coronavirus is, to be frank, squeezing out a lot. china, and it had obviously difficulties throughout 2021 as so many countries did, but it saw big benefits. the demand for chinese goods, in particular, from the rest of the world, not least people in lockdown in the us in the early part of the year on their computers ordering away, big boost to demand. are there certain economic advantages that china will continue to enjoy in the coming year? |as marc said, is there any savingsj left to keep pushing this demand? i think the kind of pain- you are seeing on high streets and village shops with people, i consumers had hoped to recoup the losses of the last year _ by bumper sales and time for people for people to go out and shop, - etc, and instead they are being hit by another wave, this time omicron, not sure exactly how _ on, will be a lockown and all this— creates a lot of uncertainty. and of course if you mention china, china unlike many countries - in the west and indeed that many i countries around the world have i decided that we find ways to live with the virus, mutation - to the virus, china still has a zero—covid policy, - so if you have zero covid, you have lockdown, - so if you have zero covid, - you have lockdown, restrictions which are not compatible trying to fire up the economy. - and of course to and there _ is the inter—nexus between economic and politics as well. both in terms of china and the us and the relationship _ between them, but if you are going to crack down on the captains - of industry and technology- fora variety of reasons, that's not a great way for money to flow. so there are predictions that this huge chinese economy— actually could slow in 2022, j which will have as you begin by having ramifications globally as well and it will have - political repercussions as always. not least because china's huge demand for natural resources that kind of fires up so much of the economies around the world. can ijust pick up them and can i use the s—word because of some economists mentioned that during the course of the end of 2021, stagflation? is it possible? because of the word is virtually forgotten in the west and is it conceivable that we could see stagflation? well, high inflation and low growth, of course, is a terrible situation that we have not seen for 70 years. i don't think so. interest from inflation for sure will stay high and firstly will go up, but the growth could really sort of really sort of take off. with the help of the government by the fact that there's not a lot of money left. it also may be consumers will decide to spend and get into debt and that will get the economy rolling. so i don't think we'll be in stagflation like we were in the 1970s. we would rather have high inflation and uncertain growth. that's at least an optimistic way to look at the new year. it's not hard to predict that a year from now in all probability that british conservatives will still be in government. they'll be looking to their 13th year in power whether in coalition or as a single party of government. i suppose the more interesting question is will borisjohnson still be leading them? i think yes. it's very hard to get rid of a conservative prime minister. it has been done, as we remember, and it can be done quite brutally, but it takes a lot of dealing. and i don't get the sense right yet that the forces are massing to get borisjohnson out. but the anger is massing right across the party, party members, voters are really furious. if there's one thing that's cut through, it's the downing street christmas parties and the way that those have been presented. whether they happened, whether they didn't and who went, but the sense that the government was giving itself one set of rules and enforcing another set on the country. whatever the rights and wrongs of those particular incidents, that has landed with voters. and you have to ask yourself if borisjohnson had not chosen to contest the censuring on ethics grounds of owen paterson, one of his mps, former mps, whether all this would've unfolded. but it has unfolded and he has really got enormous difficulty in managing his party, even managing his cabinet. that said, i do think the forces are not yet there to get rid of him. and the policy challenges for the year ahead for him? well, coronavirus, and just in that one word, can he enforce and do the things that he thinks are right with a huge bit of his parliamentary party and his government saying either lock down or don't lock down? so he's got that and he's got all kinds of economic challenges and a really big ideological difference with his chancellor, never a good sign, of whether to spend more or begin to retrench and underpin the conservatives in that way. he definitely wants to get back to his agenda of levelling up, of doing more for parts of the country who feel left behind, but many of those constituencies will interpret that as spending much more money and again his chancellor and many conservative conservatives don't want him to do that and then there are lots of international challenges, whether it's complying with net zero or deciding what relationship to have with europe, to have with france, resolving the ends of brexit which are not resolved, what part to take in that european concern about migration, things that could justifiably use up his time are almost endless but they start pretty close to home. let's get to the thought of europe. i wonder are we moving from frost to thawed out. lord frost has went at the end of the year. in the new year, the negotiations when they resume after the new year holiday are going to be led by liz truss, the foreign secretary, who was not originally a brexiteer, but she has become enthusiastic since brexit. is it possible with that, with people seeming to accept emmanuel macron winning a second term most likely in the lisee palace in the elections in the spring in france, that there could be an opportunity for a reset of the uk—eu relationship and a more positive one. well, good riddance that frost is gone because he was hated in brussels and was an ideologue and said one thing in private and just the contrary in public. he was unemotional, he was a cold fish and loathed even more than boris johnson. so liz truss could do a lot to finish brexit because she's a pragmatist, i think, and also there's a lot of goodwill on the europe side to solve the problem of northern ireland, fishing, migrants because europe wants to move on. you know, there will be a new french president, there is a new chancellor in germany, there are enormous challenges to be met, and brexit is at end of it. and it's not the problems we have that could derail finding an agreement. now i'm not sure that macron will be reelected, and that might be the problem. because if he faces pecresse in the second round, the right wing choice, traditional right wing government, he will lose because part of the left will go on with pecresse because precresse always had a social dimension and macron is hated by the left because he is perceived as a president of the rich. he is considered aloof and arrogant. so you could have president pecresse rather than president macron. so it's all about as ever with french politics who gets into that last round playoff between the two top placed candidates, assuming no candidate gets 50%? afghanistan is only the latest of the push factors that's helped contribute to migration, people flee a country that's perceived as being a failed state and women fear the consequences, retribution from the taliban. do you think that the british government, borisjohnson, in the new year, in the light of afghanistan, will perhaps look if not with love towards international aid but perhaps with more dramatic appreciation of its value to the british when you talk about issues like international migration and unwanted migration from the coast of france? to use the expression i charity begins at home, what bronwyn was saying, coronavirus is going to be| on his mind like he was, as it was and it is- and it's all over— the front pages of the paper. we had rishi sunak saying - that it is possible that the cuts to foreign spending that were put in place down to 0.5% rather- than 0.7%, which is actually a legal requirement since 2015 in britain, i he said we could go back- to our previous levels by 2024—25, but it was just a possibility. and of course it was brought down, it was said, sensibly— because of the fiscal pressure, i because of the need to respond to the impact of the coronavirus. people are concerned about the fiddling, i too, about redefining - foreign aid because there's a suggestion that it will also include for example vaccine | donations and it will also include the currency transfers _ and special drawing rights britain gets as being part| of the international monetary fund. and under this mantra of global britain, a lot of things go into it, most of all trade. l liz truss has been pushing i for the trade deals, and that all gets subsumed it seems underforeign aid. - now borisjohnson in his - boris johnson way has talked about the united kingdom - will continue to be a development superpower, but yet we heard - from the foreign relations committee in the house of commons that global britain risks _ being a branding exercise, i in other words a catchy title with little substance. and i will end by saying - you mentioned afghanistan, britain has not even started _ the scheme, the foreign resettlement scheme for vulnerable afghans and is struggling with the firstl scheme, which is to provide safety and refuse to those who work- directly with the british army - and british government and you go to the website, the second scheme, it has not opened yet. _ so not a very good signal. do you think it will get a migrant deal though between the eu—france and the uk or are you more optimistic was met we have a deal on fishing and the income on the low profile and nobody talked very much about it, but the rhetoric and the kind of confrontational rhetoric after that past, they dealt with the practicalities of it, it might not be loved, but they did get some kind of settlement. wow, both sides of the channel, i it does not look very good and it's an election year for macron, - the telescope is on borisjohnson and you have priti patel who has made it absolutely clear - that she wants to change the law even though we have had a courtj ruling saying that people are allowed to come - even if they arrive in dinghies, they are allowed to come, - arrival is not a crime, - entry if they apply for asylum they have the right. to apply for asylum. you know, if coronavirus, - the response to the coronavirus is the most difficult and painful thing for governments, britainl and europe, migration is one the most toxic issues. - and even those who try to take - a moral high ground against hungary and poland, actually we saw| with the push back in greece against it that a lot of them are saying could you please do our work for us, - that we don't want to take. it's a tough, tough issue and a very toxic, public issue as well - even though the needs are massive. and the economy could use, the studies are there, - the economy could use an injection of talented, educated, _ hard—working migrants if they meet the qualifications to be here. - now let's end this edition of dateline, and normal business will resume next week looking at the week that's been, looking at the year ahead. you can range freely and widely and let's start with bronwyn, what's 2022 hold? what are you focusing on and what do you think we should be focusing on? tempted to say to make no predictions because just how they won't last a week if that. i'm going cautiously to hope that this is the year that coronavirus lifts, that we begin to realise that we've got enough vaccines, the ability to make new vaccines, the ability to sell or share them with the world, that it begins to feel under control, but it has been a deflating end to the year to realise that we are not quite there. do you think...i mean there was a lot of talk in 2021 about a global pandemic treaty and it seemed to add and flow according to the international crises of covid—19. it was there in the g7 deal in the summer and then it appeared again and talked about and hardly mentioned and then suddenly being talked about again when omicron appeared on the scene. do you get a sense there is a desire from some kind of proper global engagement on this public health issue if nothing else? there has been more movement on global treaties than you might think. to some extent on climate change, i think this one will be more done in bits and pieces, but i do think there is a lot of impetus there for it to be done whether out of self interest of those countries realise they are vulnerable until the whole world is safer or out of philanthropy and generosity. but i think if not as grandly formed as a great treaty, there will be a lot more international effort on this than there has been. what about europe in 2022? it's a vast continent, 50—plus countries at least as far as the world health organization defines it, i think nearly 58 countries it counts as european beyond just the european union. a very kind of mixed picture in europe in terms of notjust dealing with covid, but the challenges the continent faces? well, the big challenges are of course migration, which we discussed in the programme, but i think it's more the fact that the european union has to find a new way of existing. you know, now that britain is out and the agreement on brexit, ifind the european union has to think at itself what it is going to be, a confederation, will it become a federation, will they be more power in brussels or less power, what about the region, what about separatism, what about the no respect of law by countries like poland? and hungary. those are important issues. so i think and hope that in 2022, the eu will start thinking what it wants to be for the next decade. �* , ., ., decade. it's an intriguing thought because i got _ decade. it's an intriguing thought because i got the _ decade. it's an intriguing thought because i got the sense - decade. it's an intriguing thought because i got the sense as - decade. it's an intriguing thought because i got the sense as 2021 i because i got the sense as 2021 develops more and we came towards the end of the year that some of what you might call the unfinished business of the soviet era was presenting itself again. we were talking again at the end of the year about relations between russia and ukraine and we were reminded of the fact yet again that belarus on the eu border if it wanted to could cause the eu really serious problems. it already is. people talking about the balkans and warning about unsettled picture again they are. almost as if a kind of political challenge that we thought her rather than economic challenge which we thought had been done, we got liberalisation and replace the old soviet system, but the politics never quite got resolved. could any of this developed significantly in 2022? this is the 30th anniversary of the collapse _ this is the 30th anniversary of the collapse of— this is the 30th anniversary of the collapse of the _ this is the 30th anniversary of the collapse of the soviet _ this is the 30th anniversary of the collapse of the soviet union- this is the 30th anniversary of the collapse of the soviet union and l collapse of the soviet union and president — collapse of the soviet union and president putin— collapse of the soviet union and president putin has— collapse of the soviet union and president putin has a _ collapse of the soviet union and president putin has a waxing - president putin has a waxing lyrical. — president putin has a waxing lyrical, nostalgically - president putin has a waxing lyrical, nostalgically and - president putin has a waxing| lyrical, nostalgically and with anger— lyrical, nostalgically and with anger about _ lyrical, nostalgically and with anger about the _ lyrical, nostalgically and with anger about the fact - lyrical, nostalgically and with anger about the fact that - lyrical, nostalgically and with anger about the fact that he i lyrical, nostalgically and with - anger about the fact that he wished that he _ anger about the fact that he wished that he had — anger about the fact that he wished that he had never— anger about the fact that he wished that he had never happened. - anger about the fact that he wished that he had never happened. this l anger about the fact that he wishedj that he had never happened. this is going _ that he had never happened. this is going to _ that he had never happened. this is going to be — that he had never happened. this is going to be a — that he had never happened. this is going to be a testing _ that he had never happened. this is going to be a testing time. - going to be a testing time. president _ going to be a testing time. president biden's, - going to be a testing time. president biden's, the - going to be a testing time. - president biden's, the american withdrawal— president biden's, the american withdrawal from _ president biden's, the american withdrawal from afghanistan - president biden's, the american| withdrawal from afghanistan and president biden's, the american- withdrawal from afghanistan and we understood — withdrawal from afghanistan and we understood why— withdrawal from afghanistan and we understood why it _ withdrawal from afghanistan and we understood why it had _ withdrawal from afghanistan and we understood why it had to _ withdrawal from afghanistan and we understood why it had to happen - understood why it had to happen and for the _ understood why it had to happen and for the troops — understood why it had to happen and for the troops had _ understood why it had to happen and for the troops had to _ understood why it had to happen and for the troops had to come _ understood why it had to happen and for the troops had to come of- understood why it had to happen and for the troops had to come of 20 - for the troops had to come of 20 years. the — for the troops had to come of 20 years. the rest— for the troops had to come of 20 years, the rest of— for the troops had to come of 20 years, the rest of the _ for the troops had to come of 20 years, the rest of the nato- years, the rest of the nato forces but how _ years, the rest of the nato forces but how it — years, the rest of the nato forces but how it was _ years, the rest of the nato forces but how it was done _ years, the rest of the nato forces but how it was done and - years, the rest of the nato forces but how it was done and how- years, the rest of the nato forces but how it was done and how it. but how it was done and how it resulted — but how it was done and how it resulted in— but how it was done and how it resulted in eight— but how it was done and how it resulted in eight caliban - but how it was done and how it resulted in eight caliban take l but how it was done and how it - resulted in eight caliban take over, a reversal— resulted in eight caliban take over, a reversal of — resulted in eight caliban take over, a reversal of what _ resulted in eight caliban take over, a reversal of what had _ resulted in eight caliban take over, a reversal of what had happened i resulted in eight caliban take over, | a reversal of what had happened 20 years _ a reversal of what had happened 20 years earlier — a reversal of what had happened 20 years earlier which _ a reversal of what had happened 20 years earlier which cost _ a reversal of what had happened 20 years earlier which cost the - a reversal of what had happened 20 years earlier which cost the us - a reversal of what had happened 20 years earlier which cost the us to l years earlier which cost the us to id years earlier which cost the us to go in _ years earlier which cost the us to go in and — years earlier which cost the us to go in and the _ years earlier which cost the us to go in and the first— years earlier which cost the us to go in and the first place, - years earlier which cost the us to go in and the first place, has- go in and the first place, has raised — go in and the first place, has raised questions _ go in and the first place, has raised questions about - go in and the first place, has. raised questions about american commitment _ raised questions about american commitment we _ raised questions about american commitment. we will— raised questions about american commitment. we will have - raised questions about american commitment. we will have the l raised questions about american - commitment. we will have the more than commitment. we will have the more thah100.000 — commitment. we will have the more than 100,000 russian— commitment. we will have the more than 100,000 russian troops - commitment. we will have the more i than 100,000 russian troops massing alon- than 100,000 russian troops massing along ukraine — than 100,000 russian troops massing along ukraine. you _ than 100,000 russian troops massing along ukraine. you have _ than 100,000 russian troops massing along ukraine. you have sabre - along ukraine. you have sabre rattling — along ukraine. you have sabre rattling between _ along ukraine. you have sabre rattling between china - along ukraine. you have sabre rattling between china and - along ukraine. you have sabre - rattling between china and taiwan. so there _ rattling between china and taiwan. so there is— rattling between china and taiwan. so there is a — rattling between china and taiwan. so there is a lot _ rattling between china and taiwan. so there is a lot of _ rattling between china and taiwan. so there is a lot of unfinished - so there is a lot of unfinished business _ so there is a lot of unfinished business and _ so there is a lot of unfinished business and american - so there is a lot of unfinished - business and american credibility is going _ business and american credibility is going to _ business and american credibility is going to be — business and american credibility is going to be put _ business and american credibility is going to be put on _ business and american credibility is going to be put on the _ business and american credibility is going to be put on the spot- business and american credibility is going to be put on the spotjust - going to be put on the spotjust when _ going to be put on the spotjust whenjoe — going to be put on the spotjust whenjoe biden_ going to be put on the spotjust when joe biden wants - going to be put on the spotjust when joe biden wants to - going to be put on the spotjust i when joe biden wants to focus on build _ when joe biden wants to focus on build back— when joe biden wants to focus on build back better— when joe biden wants to focus on build back better at _ when joe biden wants to focus on build back better at home, - when joe biden wants to focus on build back better at home, the i build back better at home, the impact — build back better at home, the impact of— build back better at home, the impact of the _ build back better at home, the impact of the coronavirus, - build back better at home, the - impact of the coronavirus, political challenges — impact of the coronavirus, political challenges. and _ impact of the coronavirus, political challenges. and so _ impact of the coronavirus, political challenges. and so these - impact of the coronavirus, political challenges. and so these are - impact of the coronavirus, politicall challenges. and so these are issues which _ challenges. and so these are issues which are _ challenges. and so these are issues which are not— challenges. and so these are issues which are not going _ challenges. and so these are issues which are not going to _ challenges. and so these are issues which are not going to go _ challenges. and so these are issues which are not going to go away- which are not going to go away and in fact— which are not going to go away and in fact quite — which are not going to go away and in fact quite the _ which are not going to go away and in fact quite the opposite. - which are not going to go away and in fact quite the opposite. they - which are not going to go away andl in fact quite the opposite. they may actually _ in fact quite the opposite. they may actually raise — in fact quite the opposite. they may actually raise their— in fact quite the opposite. they may actually raise their head. _ in fact quite the opposite. they may actually raise their head. and - in fact quite the opposite. they may actually raise their head. and sincel actually raise their head. and since you talked — actually raise their head. and since you talked about _ actually raise their head. and since you talked about it, _ actually raise their head. and since you talked about it, i— actually raise their head. and since you talked about it, ido— actually raise their head. and since you talked about it, i do want- actually raise their head. and since you talked about it, i do want to i you talked about it, i do want to say that— you talked about it, i do want to say that we _ you talked about it, i do want to say that we talked _ you talked about it, i do want to say that we talked about - you talked about it, i do want to say that we talked about the - say that we talked about the coronavirus which _ say that we talked about the coronavirus which has - say that we talked about the coronavirus which has been. say that we talked about the - coronavirus which has been knocking all of _ coronavirus which has been knocking all of us _ coronavirus which has been knocking all of us sideways _ coronavirus which has been knocking all of us sideways don't _ coronavirus which has been knocking all of us sideways don't forget - all of us sideways don't forget climate — all of us sideways don't forget climate change _ all of us sideways don't forget climate change which - all of us sideways don't forget climate change which has - all of us sideways don't forget . climate change which has shown all of us sideways don't forget - climate change which has shown us to have the _ climate change which has shown us to have the power— climate change which has shown us to have the power and _ climate change which has shown us to have the power and my _ climate change which has shown us to have the power and my country, - have the power and my country, canada. — have the power and my country, canada. fires _ have the power and my country, canada, fires have _ have the power and my country, canada, fires have burned - have the power and my country, | canada, fires have burned entire towns _ canada, fires have burned entire towns to— canada, fires have burned entire towns to the _ canada, fires have burned entire towns to the ground _ canada, fires have burned entire towns to the ground and - canada, fires have burned entire towns to the ground and was - canada, fires have burned entire towns to the ground and was ofl canada, fires have burned entire i towns to the ground and was of the tornado _ towns to the ground and was of the tornado sweeping _ towns to the ground and was of the tornado sweeping through - towns to the ground and was of the tornado sweeping through six - towns to the ground and was of the l tornado sweeping through six states in the _ tornado sweeping through six states in the us, _ tornado sweeping through six states in the us, a — tornado sweeping through six states in the us, a whole _ tornado sweeping through six states in the us, a whole town _ tornado sweeping through six states in the us, a whole town centre - tornado sweeping through six states in the us, a whole town centre in. in the us, a whole town centre in kentucky— in the us, a whole town centre in kentucky was _ in the us, a whole town centre in kentucky was wiped _ in the us, a whole town centre in kentucky was wiped away- in the us, a whole town centre in kentucky was wiped away by- in the us, a whole town centre in kentucky was wiped away by the i in the us, a whole town centre in- kentucky was wiped away by the force of nature, _ kentucky was wiped away by the force of nature, climate _ kentucky was wiped away by the force of nature, climate change _ kentucky was wiped away by the force of nature, climate change as - kentucky was wiped away by the force of nature, climate change as well - kentucky was wiped away by the force of nature, climate change as well as l of nature, climate change as well as the coronavirus— of nature, climate change as well as the coronavirus are _ of nature, climate change as well as the coronavirus are going _ of nature, climate change as well as the coronavirus are going to - of nature, climate change as well as the coronavirus are going to be - the coronavirus are going to be these _ the coronavirus are going to be these global— the coronavirus are going to be these global problems - the coronavirus are going to be these global problems which i the coronavirus are going to be i these global problems which need global— these global problems which need global solutions _ these global problems which need global solutions and _ these global problems which need global solutions and yet _ these global problems which need global solutions and yet again - these global problems which need global solutions and yet again it . these global problems which need i global solutions and yet again it we will be _ global solutions and yet again it we will be asking — global solutions and yet again it we will be asking our— global solutions and yet again it we will be asking our world _ global solutions and yet again it we will be asking our world leaders- global solutions and yet again it we will be asking our world leaders up| will be asking our world leaders up to the _ will be asking our world leaders up to the task— will be asking our world leaders up to the task of _ will be asking our world leaders up to the task of working _ will be asking our world leaders up to the task of working together - will be asking our world leaders up to the task of working together inl to the task of working together in making _ to the task of working together in making sacrifices— to the task of working together in making sacrifices in— to the task of working together in making sacrifices in order- to the task of working together in making sacrifices in order to- to the task of working together in making sacrifices in order to findl making sacrifices in order to find the solutions— making sacrifices in order to find the solutions and _ making sacrifices in order to find the solutions and not _ making sacrifices in order to find the solutions and not only - making sacrifices in order to find the solutions and not only their. making sacrifices in order to find . the solutions and not only their own countries _ the solutions and not only their own countries and — the solutions and not only their own countries and people _ the solutions and not only their own countries and people need - the solutions and not only their own countries and people need but- the solutions and not only their own countries and people need but the l countries and people need but the entire _ countries and people need but the entire world — countries and people need but the entire world needs. _ countries and people need but the entire world needs. and _ countries and people need but the entire world needs. and don't - countries and people need but the . entire world needs. and don't forget the iran— entire world needs. and don't forget the iran nuclear— entire world needs. and don't forget the iran nuclear deal— entire world needs. and don't forget the iran nuclear deal is _ entire world needs. and don't forget the iran nuclear deal is that- entire world needs. and don't forget the iran nuclear deal is that we'll- the iran nuclear deal is that we'll be back— the iran nuclear deal is that we'll be back on— the iran nuclear deal is that we'll be back on the _ the iran nuclear deal is that we'll be back on the agenda _ the iran nuclear deal is that we'll be back on the agenda next - the iran nuclear deal is that we'll be back on the agenda next year| the iran nuclear deal is that we'll- be back on the agenda next year and is already— be back on the agenda next year and is already coming _ be back on the agenda next year and is already coming back _ be back on the agenda next year and is already coming back but _ be back on the agenda next year and is already coming back but it - be back on the agenda next year and is already coming back but it will- is already coming back but it will be on the — is already coming back but it will be on the agenda. _ is already coming back but it will be on the agenda.— is already coming back but it will be on the agenda. is already coming back but it will beontheauenda. �* �* ., , be on the agenda. bring bronwyn back on some of those _ be on the agenda. bring bronwyn back on some of those thoughts, _ be on the agenda. bring bronwyn back on some of those thoughts, is - on some of those thoughts, is anything you want to flag up there? i think that was exactly right. i think— i think that was exactly right. i think the — i think that was exactly right. i think the iran nuclear deal is coming _ think the iran nuclear deal is coming that could take eight distinct— coming that could take eight distinct turn for the better and if it did _ distinct turn for the better and if it did and — distinct turn for the better and if it did and summing did happen on that, _ it did and summing did happen on that, very— it did and summing did happen on that, very much. the it did and summing did happen on that, very much.— it did and summing did happen on that, very much. the threat is that it won't. that, very much. the threat is that it won't- we're _ that, very much. the threat is that it won't. we're looking _ that, very much. the threat is that it won't. we're looking at - that, very much. the threat is that it won't. we're looking at possibly| it won't. we're looking at possibly in 2022 _ it won't. we're looking at possibly in 2022 a — it won't. we're looking at possibly in 2022 a world _ it won't. we're looking at possibly in 2022 a world without _ it won't. we're looking at possibly in 2022 a world without the - it won't. we're looking at possibly in 2022 a world without the iran . in 2022 a world without the iran nuclear— in 2022 a world without the iran nuclear deal— in 2022 a world without the iran nuclear deal of— in 2022 a world without the iran nuclear deal of 2015. _ in 2022 a world without the iran nuclear deal of 2015. president i nuclear deal of 2015. president trump — nuclear deal of 2015. president trump pulled _ nuclear deal of 2015. president trump pulled out _ nuclear deal of 2015. president trump pulled out in _ nuclear deal of 2015. president trump pulled out in 2018- nuclear deal of 2015. president trump pulled out in 2018 and l nuclear deal of 2015. president - trump pulled out in 2018 and came back with _ trump pulled out in 2018 and came back with president _ trump pulled out in 2018 and came back with president biden - trump pulled out in 2018 and came back with president biden saying. trump pulled out in 2018 and camel back with president biden saying he wanted _ back with president biden saying he wanted to— back with president biden saying he wanted to return _ back with president biden saying he wanted to return and _ back with president biden saying he wanted to return and the _ back with president biden saying he wanted to return and the irradiancel wanted to return and the irradiance said they— wanted to return and the irradiance said they wanted _ wanted to return and the irradiance said they wanted to _ wanted to return and the irradiance said they wanted to return - wanted to return and the irradiance said they wanted to return even - wanted to return and the irradiance. said they wanted to return even with the new _ said they wanted to return even with the new conservative _ said they wanted to return even with the new conservative president, - said they wanted to return even with the new conservative president, but| the new conservative president, but it's now— the new conservative president, but it's now a _ the new conservative president, but it's now a matter— the new conservative president, but it's now a matter of— the new conservative president, but it's now a matter of weeks - the new conservative president, but it's now a matter of weeks that - it's now a matter of weeks that people — it's now a matter of weeks that people are _ it's now a matter of weeks that people are now— it's now a matter of weeks that people are now talking - it's now a matter of weeks that people are now talking on - it's now a matter of weeks that people are now talking on bothj people are now talking on both sides. — people are now talking on both sides. both _ people are now talking on both sides, both the _ people are now talking on both sides, both the irradiance - people are now talking on both sides, both the irradiance andl people are now talking on both- sides, both the irradiance and they are enriching — sides, both the irradiance and they are enriching uranium _ sides, both the irradiance and they are enriching uranium up _ sides, both the irradiance and they are enriching uranium up to- sides, both the irradiance and they are enriching uranium up to over. sides, both the irradiance and they. are enriching uranium up to over 50% even though— are enriching uranium up to over 50% even though they _ are enriching uranium up to over 50% even though they were _ are enriching uranium up to over 50% even though they were under- are enriching uranium up to over 50% even though they were under 4% - are enriching uranium up to over 50% i even though they were under 4% under the terms _ even though they were under 4% under the terms of— even though they were under 4% under the terms of the — even though they were under 4% under the terms of the nuclear— even though they were under 4% under the terms of the nuclear deal, - even though they were under 4% under the terms of the nuclear deal, which i the terms of the nuclear deal, which limited _ the terms of the nuclear deal, which limited their— the terms of the nuclear deal, which limited their nuclear— the terms of the nuclear deal, which limited their nuclear programme - the terms of the nuclear deal, which limited their nuclear programme in. limited their nuclear programme in exchange _ limited their nuclear programme in exchange for— limited their nuclear programme in exchange for sanctions— limited their nuclear programme in exchange for sanctions relief- limited their nuclear programme in exchange for sanctions relief to - exchange for sanctions relief to know _ exchange for sanctions relief to know if— exchange for sanctions relief to know if they _ exchange for sanctions relief to know if they don't _ exchange for sanctions relief to know if they don't get - exchange for sanctions relief to know if they don't get the - exchange for sanctions relief to - know if they don't get the sanctions relief— know if they don't get the sanctions relief they— know if they don't get the sanctions relief they will — know if they don't get the sanctions relief they will not _ know if they don't get the sanctions relief they will not go _ know if they don't get the sanctions relief they will not go back - know if they don't get the sanctions relief they will not go back into - relief they will not go back into the deal— relief they will not go back into the deal and _ relief they will not go back into the deal and the _ relief they will not go back into the deal and the us also- relief they will not go back into the deal and the us also looks| relief they will not go back into . the deal and the us also looks at relief they will not go back into - the deal and the us also looks at a world _ the deal and the us also looks at a world without the _ the deal and the us also looks at a world without the deal _ the deal and the us also looks at a world without the deal even - the deal and the us also looks at a | world without the deal even though it wants _ world without the deal even though it wants one — world without the deal even though it wants one and _ world without the deal even though it wants one and all— world without the deal even though it wants one and all the _ world without the deal even though it wants one and all the drumbeat i it wants one and all the drumbeat from israel— it wants one and all the drumbeat from israel saying _ it wants one and all the drumbeat from israel saying is— it wants one and all the drumbeat from israel saying is are - it wants one and all the drumbeat from israel saying is are going - it wants one and all the drumbeat from israel saying is are going to| from israel saying is are going to be a _ from israel saying is are going to be a military— from israel saying is are going to be a military strike? _ from israel saying is are going to be a military strike? imell- from israel saying is are going to be a military strike? well coming of the most uplifting _ be a military strike? well coming of the most uplifting note _ be a military strike? well coming of the most uplifting note to _ be a military strike? well coming of the most uplifting note to end - be a military strike? well coming of the most uplifting note to end of. the most uplifting note to end of a probably appropriate as the year returns. thank you all very much for your company throughout 2021 and into 2022. wherever you have been this weekend, we hope you've enjoyed it and there is more at dateline in the usual slot at the usual time next weekend and until then from all of us, goodbye for now. you are not imagining it, it is e> and northern ireland were the temperatures was up again quite a lot of sunshine for the day and widely highs in the day and widely highs in the mid teens. squally showers in the southeast of england small hours of sunday and have your showers sweeping in from the west and wales and the midlands. very mild night and again these are the temperatures more typical of daytime for this time of year and even perhaps slightly above. sunday, wetter weather again on the cards for england and well and some blustery winds. we could see some intense showers working their way through and i think the driest and brightest for sunday will be scotland and northern ireland. that on monday, into a pincer movement in terms of whether across the uk. we will see this with the to the south try to put some rain in in this area of low pressure north trying to turn things increasingly unsettled and between the two, some breezy conditions but i think the best of any sunny spells perhaps for the midlands, northern england but to the very south in the very north of the very south in the very north of the uk, there could be some heavier and more persistent rain. a little cooler as well on monday but temperature is still subtly above average all the time of year. however, for tuesday, it looks like we are going to flip a ramp and pick upa we are going to flip a ramp and pick up a northerly wind and that will bring about a very dramatic change in the way things feel because a lot of us will have to add on the effect of us will have to add on the effect of the wind—chill but temperatures in edinburghjustli of the wind—chill but temperatures in edinburgh just 4 degrees on tuesday, down to 8 degrees in london. so big contrast in our weather to come in the days ahead. this is bbc news with the headlines. celebrations are under way in the united arab emirates as the clock strikes midnight. this is the scene there live. we'll bring you more of that in a moment. entire neighbourhoods in the us state of colorado have been engulfed by flames as wildfires force tens of thousands to leave their homes. many families having minutes, minutes to get whatever they could — their pets, their kids — into the car and leave. the nhs warns of significant pressure in the coming weeks as covid infections in the uk reach a new high. the staff that are at work will be caring for more patients, trying to do more to cover for their missing colleagues, working extra hours, starting early, finishing late.

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