to written�*s labour shortage? pumped up prices, rising inflation raises fears of a cost of living crisis. plus, on borrowed time. the us must raises $28 trillion debt limit orface must raises $28 trillion debt limit or face the vaulting. —— defaulting. hello there. they start in the uk where government sources have told the bbc that there won't be any further relaxation or post brexit immigration rules despite calls from businesses facing staff shortages. on sunday the government set up temporary visas schemes for truck drivers and workers to limit disruption in the run—up to christmas. in other businesses are being told to improve pay and conditions to improve pay and conditions to attract staff. emma simpson reports. picking, packing and matching online shopping. these big warehouses now pay a crucial role in the economy and labour shortages here as well. tens of thousands of workers are already needed for full—time roles. if already needed for full-time roles. ., ~ , ., roles. if fewer workers than we used to have — roles. if fewer workers than we used to have and _ roles. if fewer workers than we used to have and some - roles. if fewer workers than we used to have and some of- roles. if fewer workers than we used to have and some of that| used to have and some of that is down to brexit, so something like 15% of the hgv drivers we had a couple of years ago were eu nationals, but the proportion of forklift truck drivers was more like 34%. if anything, warehousing has been harder hit in driving by the exodus of people from our workforce.— exodus of people from our workforce. �* ., , ., , workforce. and now, christmas is coming- _ workforce. and now, christmas is coming. they _ workforce. and now, christmas is coming. they want _ workforce. and now, christmas is coming. they want a - workforce. and now, christmas is coming. they want a lack - workforce. and now, christmas is coming. they want a lack ofl is coming. they want a lack of warehouse workers could impact deliveries. they and everyone else need an army of seasonal workers to meet demand and pay is quickly going up. we workers to meet demand and pay is quickly going tip-— is quickly going up. we are seeinu is quickly going up. we are seeing wages _ is quickly going up. we are seeing wages going - is quickly going up. we are seeing wages going up - is quickly going up. we are i seeing wages going up across the board, nearly all of our customers we have spoken to and said if they want us to satisfy anything like their normal pre—christmas demand, they will need to be paying more. find need to be paying more. and this online _ need to be paying more. and this online are _ need to be paying more. and this online are not _ need to be paying more. and this online are notjust up anti—. here at is on, they are about to start recruiting for 20,000 people and for the first time in some areas where there is the biggest battle for workers, they will be offering a £1000 sign—on bonus to make sure they get all their parcels out. experts reckon there will be even more parcels this christmas than last, and come at a cost. christmas than last, and come at a cost-— at a cost. we are seeing carriers _ at a cost. we are seeing carriers having - at a cost. we are seeing carriers having to - at a cost. we are seeing carriers having to look. at a cost. we are seeing | carriers having to look at potentially adding surcharges in terms of delivery surcharges to consumers in order to pay for the staff that they need to have on their books for this christmas to meet peak demand. more people are needed than ever before in this fast—growing part of logistics. the government says it won't introduce visas schemes for any other sector facing staff shortages, but pressure is now on to deliver christmas, and this time, workers can choose which company they want to go to. emma simpson, bbc news. the furlough scheme which protected millions ofjobs during the pandemic has finally been wound up today. from a peak of nearly 9 million people being paid to stay off work in may 2020. that has fallen to about over a million or so by the summer. so will this make an impact on staff shortages? well, to answer that is the chief executive of the rac, the recruitment and deployment commission in the uk. will it make a difference?— make a difference? good morning- _ make a difference? good morning- i _ make a difference? good morning. ithink- make a difference? good morning. ithink if- make a difference? good morning. i think if it - make a difference? good| morning. i think if it does make a difference it is probably quite small because we are talking of over a million people still on furlough at the beginning of the month. a lot of those people are already working at least part—time for their previous employer or they found a newjob during the furlough. and are already working elsewhere. recruiters are not reporting to a big flood of candidates during september which is what you would expect if people were starting to look for work at the end of furlough because they weren't going back to something else. 50 they weren't going back to something else.— they weren't going back to something else. so it is hardly the silver _ something else. so it is hardly the silver bullet, _ something else. so it is hardly the silver bullet, is _ something else. so it is hardly the silver bullet, is it? - the silver bullet, is it? thinking about the various sectors involved, aviation, tourism, the cultural sector, they are all still very much on life support. how easy will it be for people involved in those industries to suddenly switch from working in one industry to another where there actually might be some vacancies? it is not easy to become an hd g drive overnight, is it? the reasons — drive overnight, is it? the reasons we _ drive overnight, is it? the reasons we have - drive overnight, is it? tue: reasons we have shortages drive overnight, is it? tte: reasons we have shortages of drivers it does take time to train and we have hold—ups and getting people licenses during the pandemic. these sectors, hospitality, the night—time economy, travel, tourism, these are customer facing, economy, travel, tourism, these are customerfacing, customer service sectors. those are skills and if you look across the uk labour market right now, we talk about drivers, talking about warehousing, because those are the short list ones of the shortage, there are 200,000 job vacancies going on tojobs in the uk every 200,000 job vacancies going on to jobs in the uk every week and last week we did some analysis that pointed outjob ads are going up in every single local council area in the united kingdom. there is a lot of opportunity out there for people who are looking for work right now. it is a candidate's market. t work right now. it is a candidate's market. i wonder where this — candidate's market. i wonder where this all— candidate's market. i wonder where this all leaves - candidate's market. i wonder where this all leaves all- candidate's market. i wonder where this all leaves all the l where this all leaves all the workers because the chancellor says it means the end of the support, but the policies in place are often to help young people into work. adults upgrade skills and apprenticeships. forsmaller businesses. none of which necessarily do much for the older workforce of which we have many in this country. that is absolutely — have many in this country. that is absolutely right _ have many in this country. that is absolutely right and - have many in this country. t'ngt is absolutely right and some of those things that you have mentioned are available to older workers, for instance an apprenticeship and we think of it as something for young workers, it is a high quality training route that we are working with education, skills and key shortage sectors where people can come in and train very quickly in areas of shortage. so there is some provision there, but it is certainly the case that companies via their recruiters need to be thinking about different ways to access candidates right now because there is a real shortage, and i think part of that is about working with local authorities, job centres to make sure that we are opening up pathways for midcareer workers to change into something new. [30 midcareer workers to change into something new.- into something new. do you thinkthis — into something new. do you think this can _ into something new. do you think this can be _ into something new. do you think this can be solved - think this can be solved without loosening immigration laws for other sectors as well? hospitality is certainly calling for it. t hospitality is certainly calling for it.— hospitality is certainly calling for it. hospitality is certainly callin: for it. ~ ., calling for it. i think we have not to calling for it. i think we have got to disaggregate - calling for it. i think we havei got to disaggregate between work is a short—term impact on the impact of the pandemic very shortly after brexit, companies not having hired for 18 months, switching everything on the 18 month sound peaking at levels we have never seen before and what is the long—term effect of where the labour market is. we do think that we are heading for a very tight ten to 15 years in the british labour market for a lot of different reasons. when we were talking about the design of this new immigration system, we talk about an immigration system that works for the economy, and that works for the economy, and thatis that works for the economy, and that is about what is in the uk, but if the economy has needs, the system will have two flex to meet that because first and foremost if we can't do that then the capacity constraints that are put on companies by labour shortage woman economic growth is lower, prices will go up for consumers, and that picture of lower growth and higher inflation is when we recognise, and we recognise from the 1970s which was not great. for the british economy. we which was not great. for the british economy.— which was not great. for the british economy. we have to leave it there _ british economy. we have to leave it there for _ british economy. we have to leave it there for the - british economy. we have to| leave it there for the moment but i do want to ring injanet who is the investment direct at a stockbroker in london. neil from the rac talking about a tight labour market for the next ten to 15 years. that doesn't sell at a short—term headwind, does it mark the labour market is currently going through a short—term kind of rebalancing process. this going through a short-term kind of rebalancing process.- of rebalancing process. as we have over _ of rebalancing process. as we have over i — of rebalancing process. as we have over1 million _ of rebalancing process. as we have over1 million people - of rebalancing process. as we have over1 million people on | have overi million people on furlough, and on the other hand, we actually have job opening records. if you look at data, thejob openings now is actually 25% more than where we were pre— pandemic. obviously there is a lot of demand for companies but not it is much —— it is not matched by supply. the combination of brexit, covid and coming out of the pandemic, but i think usually they can readjust themselves. the government intervention that immigration policy could be very important as well the long—term. be very important as well the long-term— be very important as well the iona-term. , . . , long-term. janet, what we 'ust discussed fl long-term. janet, what we 'ust discussed with i long-term. janet, what we 'ust discussed with neali long-term. janet, what we 'ust discussed with neal is i long-term. janet, what we just discussed with neal is that, - discussed with neal is that, yes, there might be vacancies, and yes, we might have all these people on furlough, but he has not seen people suddenly flooding into the market, and fulfilling those vacancies that he is saying there is a problem, and a problem for the next decade. this is a major problem for the economy and for the bank of england who have already raised alarm bells on this. �* , , , this. absolute. this is the risk that _ this. absolute. this is the risk that we _ this. absolute. this is the risk that we have - this. absolute. this is the risk that we have to - this. absolute. this is the risk that we have to be i risk that we have to be watching. a lot of economists are more and more realising this is a problem that would last longer. take months and possibly years. policymakers are certainly watching and very keen to watch what will happen after the furlough programme. the real concerns is this is getting worse than previously expected and i think for a lot of central banks like bank of england, it has changed a bit. many of these central bankers say it is temporary and the labour market will readjust more in the future. obviously that changes because bank of england has recently, they are probably going to raise interest rates next year as affected by the stock market at the moment. affected by the stock market at the moment-— the moment. thank you very much, the moment. thank you very much. janet. _ the moment. thank you very much, janet, in _ the moment. thank you very much, janet, in london - the moment. thank you very much, janet, in london for l the moment. thank you very i much, janet, in london for us. much, janet, in london for us. in the next hour or so, the uk chancellor is expected to announce grants for people struggling with the rising cost of living. soaring gas, petrol and food prices threaten the cost of living crisis for many this winter. our business editor simonjack explains. the fuel industry and the government insist the situation is slowly improving but the business secretary today said the army will be on our streets soon. tt the army will be on our streets soon. . ~' , s the army will be on our streets soon. . ~ , ., , the army will be on our streets soon. n , ., , ., soon. it takes a couple of da s, soon. it takes a couple of days, sometimes - soon. it takes a couple of days, sometimes a - soon. it takes a couple of days, sometimes a few i soon. it takes a couple of. days, sometimes a few days soon. it takes a couple of- days, sometimes a few days to get troops on the ground. we have decided to do that and i think in the next couple of days people will see some soldiers driving the tanker fleet. . , ., , fleet. clearly, there are still ma'or fleet. clearly, there are still major problems _ fleet. clearly, there are still major problems about - fleet. clearly, there are still major problems about the i major problems about the availability of fuel, but what about prices? as you can see here, they have been rising steadily since the beginning of the year and now at an eight year high. the effect of this prices comparatively small. the real reason they are rising as this. this is the global crude oil price, and the bad news is that this recent spike is yet to be reflected in pump prices so they are affected to go even higher even after this current crisis ends. if you add that to this horror show, this is a wholesale gas price which has bankrupted lots of energy companies, the millions of people facing higher bills and we have the makings of a proper cost of living crunch this winter. just this afternoon three more energy companies went bust. igloo and the combined court of a million customers face higher bills from the new providers taking them on. the petrol prices will inevitably end. the financial pressure on household incomes is arguably just starting. simonjack, bbc news. sylvia is an economist. thank you forjoining me today. all the central bankers are saying that this is temporary. is anyone really buying that remark i think that what we are seeing really is a global phenomenon of higher inflation and i think that there are some covid related dynamics in play, so as such, this phenomenon is temporary in nature. 50 so as such, this phenomenon is temporary in nature.— temporary in nature. so it is correct that _ temporary in nature. so it is correct that i _ temporary in nature. so it is correct that i think - temporary in nature. so it is correct that i think to - temporary in nature. so it is correct that i think to claim | correct that i think to claim that there is a transitory element in the current surge on inflation that we are seeing globally. however of course we have seen that these certain inflation has proved some longer lasting than initially expected, and it is because the pandemic has been longer than expected with new waves hitting different countries and different countries and different times, and, therefore, resulting in retracting ever more intense supply chain disruptions. for the uk there are also some domestic dynamics, making supply constraints worse. and of course i think going forward it would be really key to monitor what happens to inflation expectations and also wage formation processes. those are the challenges through which temporary inflation can become really ingrained in the system. the thing is though, is even if it is temporary or transitory, if you can't fill up your tank to go to work, if you can't buy baby powdered milk in the supermarket, if you can't pay your gas bill anymore, it doesn't matter how transitory or temporary it is, it is real and it is happening all over the uk at the moment and increasingly across europe and beyond, so whether it is transitory or not, something surely needs to be done, whether that is monetary policy, fiscal policy, but it has to happen now, no? there is no ruick has to happen now, no? there is no quick fix _ has to happen now, no? there is no quick fix to — has to happen now, no? there is no quick fix to the _ has to happen now, no? there is no quick fix to the current - no quick fix to the current inflationary situation, and so it would take time to adjust and to unravel this supply constraint issues, and frankly what we are seeing here is really inflation pressures and they tend to be temporary if they tend to be temporary if they are not matched by demand pull, namely higher wages, and so in this situation, really, we are seeing high inflation, squeezing consumers and at the same time, a set of extraordinary measures of fiscal support expiring, we might really see slower consumption and therefore there is a risk of derailing the recovery so in this context i'm not really sure if a rate hike ljy not really sure if a rate hike by the bank of england would be the right thing to do. interesting, ok thanks very much. do stay with us on bbc news, still to come: can battery—powered give trucking a greener future? battery—powered give trucking a greenerfuture? we battery—powered give trucking a greener future? we are speaking to the boss of a new uk start—up. hello, welcome back, this is bbc news. just a reminder of our headlines: a major victory for britney spears as a judge suspends the popstar�*s father as control of her business affairs. and over 100 prisoners and guards are killed in ecuador�*s deadliest ever present riot as rival gangs fight for control of the compound. now, let's turn our attentions to the united states where democrats are scrambling to avoid a shutdown of government services amid a political deadlock over spending plans. markets are growing increasingly nervous about another looming deadline. the us has got a borrowing limit of $28.4 trillion and the treasury secretary janet yellen is going to hit that overdraft limit next month. politicians must agree on raising the debt limit or the us risks defaulting. the us debt ceiling needs to be raised, but the political polarisation is so intense that doubt is creeping and to the markets. so what is the debt ceiling or debt limit? it is the maximum amount the us government can borrow to pay its existing bills. america had that limit on august first. since then, the us treasury has been using extraordinary measures to make sure it has enough cash on hand to meet its obligations stopping the congressional budget office thinks it will exhaust those measures in late october or early november. us treasury secretary janet yellen warned congress the date was probably the 18th as she urged lawmakers to act now to avoid economic calamity. because the us has never defaulted on debts, economists aren't sure what the economic fallout could be stopping it could trigger a recession, funding for certain state programmes could be faulted if the debt limit isn't raised. the head ofjpmorgan, said his bank was preparing for the worst, calling not raising the worst, calling not raising the debt limit a potentially catastrophic event. transport accounts for more than a quarter of greenhouse gas emissions in the uk but while electric cars are beginning to find favour with consumers, trucks are still overwhelmingly run on diesel and they contribute more than a third of c02 contribute more than a third of co2 emissions on our road. but that could change if a new start—up has its way. speak to asher bennett, launching the first mass produced electric truck due to go on sale next year. this is exciting! just tell me, why has the electrification of commercial vehicles lagged so far behind the consumer sector?- the consumer sector? good morning — the consumer sector? good morning victoria. _ the consumer sector? good morning victoria. mostly i morning victoria. mostly because trucks are workhorses that have to go out for eight hours, nine hours of delivery, and there is no expectation that a truck will have time in the middle of the day to take a break and look for a charger and spend one or two hours recharging so you need very different solutions than for a passenger car. 50 different solutions than for a passenger car.— passenger car. so these problems _ passenger car. so these problems still _ passenger car. so these problems still apply, i passenger car. so these l problems still apply, your truck offers up to 160 miles, you are going to be doing more than that unless you are stuck in traffic on the m25. brute than that unless you are stuck in traffic on the m25.- in traffic on the m25. we have two forms _ in traffic on the m25. we have two forms of _ in traffic on the m25. we have two forms of our— in traffic on the m25. we have two forms of our truck. i in traffic on the m25. we have two forms of our truck. at i two forms of our truck. at rioli which is up to 160 miles, and shortly we are coming out with our hydrogen range extender solution which can give up to 300 miles and all that extra mileage in the hydrogen is basically to remove the risk that you might not get back to the base at the end of the day. we want you to drive as many zero emission miles as you can. �*s typically, we don't want trucks to be put on short routes. we need to replace the dirty diesel trucks doing the longer routes. tt dirty diesel trucks doing the longer routes.— dirty diesel trucks doing the longer routes. if you are using hydrogen _ longer routes. if you are using hydrogen fuel _ longer routes. if you are using hydrogen fuel cells _ longer routes. if you are using hydrogen fuel cells to - longer routes. if you are usingj hydrogen fuel cells to upgrade your range extender technology, doesn't that completely undermine the idea that electric is the silver bullet for decarbonise in the logistics industry? that for decarbonise in the logistics industry? at the end ofthe logistics industry? at the end of the day. — logistics industry? at the end of the day, green _ logistics industry? at the end of the day, green hydrogen . logistics industry? at the end of the day, green hydrogen is zero carbon, it is a great solution because of the high energy density, it has its downsides and that is why we don't make it as the primary energy source for the truck, it is the backup energy source. the main source will always be cheap, available green electricity.— cheap, available green electrici . ., ., electricity. now, given that we know, i electricity. now, given that we know. i mean _ electricity. now, given that we know, i mean it's _ electricity. now, given that we know, i mean it's been - electricity. now, given that we know, i mean it's been well i know, i mean it's been well documented the risks associated with electric vehicles, with running hydrogen, as well, how do you think you can run or be part of a just—in—time global supply chain for the world if you've got trucks that are potentially problematic every single day?— single day? that is what we have been _ single day? that is what we have been working - single day? that is what we have been working very i single day? that is what we l have been working very hard single day? that is what we i have been working very hard to solve. we had a fleet of trucks with a major logistics provider running around for almost two years now, gaining a lot of experience on it, on the ranges and how they use it, how the drivers love to use it because of the power and the talk and solving their range concerns. it's all about the range concerns and the range extender technology is specific around that. we could put larger and larger batteries in our trucks but then it would be very heavy, it would take away from the payload, it would be quite expensive and charging would start to be an issue so we find that the balance of medium—sized batteries and a range extender is a great solution. range extender is a great solution-— solution. the european automotive _ solution. the european automotive trade i solution. the european automotive trade body| solution. the european - automotive trade body believes that the uk is going to need over 8000 charging points by 2030, that is more than two opening every day for the rest of the decade, do you really believe you are going to get them? ~ , , . believe you are going to get them? s , , . , them? we pretty much believe that charging _ them? we pretty much believe that charging should _ them? we pretty much believe that charging should be - them? we pretty much believe that charging should be at i them? we pretty much believe that charging should be at the| that charging should be at the depot�*s. i don't believe that there is going to be a lot of public charging of trucks in the early years. in a few years as all these urban and extra urban trucks come out and make longer and longer deliveries, then we can start thinking about the very long—range and charging solutions along the way where hydrogen could be part of the solution because feeling hydrogen is a few minutes and charging electricity could take a while. we're to have to leave it there, thank you very much for your time, there, thank you very much for yourtime, best there, thank you very much for your time, best of luck for your time, best of luck for your new company. thank you very much for your time today, it's been a pleasure. reach me on twitter. hello there. after what was a mostly dry and clear end to wednesday for most of us, the weather steps up a gear through thursday and into the weekend. with spells of rain, some strong winds, some drier, brighter interludes in between, but the culprit — no prizes for guessing — is low pressure. and this frontal system pushing in from the west is going to bring rain for many of us through the day ahead, with some quite brisk winds as well, particularly in western areas. gusts across western scotland for a time in excess of 50mph. through the day, we will see cloud, we will see outbreaks of showery rain on and off with some drier interludes. best chance of any sunshine across northeast scotland and maybe for a time in the far southeast of england. those are the average wind speeds through the afternoon. gusts will be stronger than that. temperatures ranging from 13 degrees in aberdeen to 17 in cardiff and in plymouth. now, through thursday night, we will see more cloud, more showery rain, and then through the early hours of friday, it looks like we'll have a band of really heavy rain and potentially some quite squally winds that will start to work eastwards, but a much milder night in prospect, with temperatures for many places staying in double digits. so this band of heavy rain and strong winds will cross east anglia and the southeast through friday morning. behind that, england and wales will see some sunshine, but scotland and northern ireland seeing further outbreaks of rain, very windy, with gusts in excess of 50mph across parts of scotland particularly, and temperatures between 13 and 17 degrees. and then we get to the weekend and this frontal system running in from the west could spell trouble, could spell disruption for some, bringing some very heavy rain and then potentially spinning into a really deep area of low pressure drifting northwards across the uk, with the risk of gales, perhaps most especially across scotland, and heavy rain affecting most areas at times. so saturday may start off dry for many of us, but it looks like we'll see some really very heavy and persistent rain working in from the southwest, maybe northern scotland staying just about dry. the winds picking up as well. and then through saturday night, that's when we're expecting an area of low pressure to develop. the detail may change between now and then, but we could see a bout of very strong winds drifting across scotland, some rain continuing here into sunday. sunshine and heavy showers further south and top temperatures to end the weekend between 12 and 17 degrees. good morning. welcome to breakfast with charlie stayt and nina warhurst. our headlines today.. the metropolitan police officer who murdered sarah everard after falsely arresting and kidnapping her prepares to be sentenced at the old bailey. the furlough scheme, which has supported more than 11.5 million workers in the uk during the pandemic, comes to an end. is it too soon to remove that support? many businesses say they are not up and running a need that help. i will be speaking to some of them. britney spears' father is suspended from the legal arrangement that gave him control of her life.

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