NEW DELHI: The India Meteorological Department (IMD) has this year adopted a new forecasting strategy and more sophisticated comprehensive scientific model to come out with monthly forecasts during the monsoon season from May onwards, making it possible for farmers, government authorities, disaster managers and other users to plan their activities in much better ways.
The new dynamical model was also used to generate the first stage southwest monsoon forecast on Friday, predicting normal rainfall in the country during June-September period.
It also for the first time released a map at this stage, showing state-wise probability rainfall forecast for the 2021 southwest monsoon season. This map gives a broad idea as to how the monsoon is likely to perform in states/UTs during the four-month rainy season.
‘Normal’ monsoon this year: IMD
IANS / Updated: Apr 17, 2021, 06:00 IST
monsoon season between June to September this year, as per the
India Meteorological Department (
LPA) of monsoon will be 98 per cent which falls in the normal category.
“This is good news for all as the monsoon is expected to be normal this year,” Rajeevan said. Rainfall between 96-104 per cent of LPA is ‘normal’.
“IMD has released the first stage long range forecast for 2021 South West Monsoon Rainfall today. Seasonal rainfall (June to September) over the country as a whole is likely to be normal at 96 to 104 per cent of Long Period Average which is 88 cm for the period 1961-2010,” he said.
India’s 2021 monsoon rainfall will be normal, the India Meteorological Department predicted on Friday, stirring optimism among crop researchers and economists amid lingering uncertainty posed by the Covid-19 pandemic and its fallout.
The quantum of monsoon rainfall during the June-September season is likely to be 98 per cent of the long-period average, the IMD said, forecasting a 40 per cent probability and a third straight year of normal rainfall. Meteorologists label rainfall in the range of 96 to 104 per cent as normal.
Economists said good rainfall would help curb food inflation, boost rural income, and push overall demand for agricultural products and consumer durables. But both crop meteorologists and economists cautioned that the geographic spread of the rainfall will determine its impact.
The IMD’s forecast shows that the 2021 monsoon will be the third consecutive year (2019-2021) of good rainfall. India had earlier three consecutive years of rainfall in 1996, 1997 and 1998.
NEW DELHI: Bringing good news for India’s overall economy, the country’s national weather forecaster, India Meteorological Department (IMD), on Friday predicted overall ‘normal’ monsoon rainfall during June-September period across the country. It said the probability of the 2021 monsoon being ‘normal’ was 40% while there was 21% chance of it being ‘above normal’.
“Quantitatively, the monsoon seasonal rainfall is likely to be 98% of the Long Period Average (LPA) with a model error of +/- 5%,” said Madhavan Rajeevan, secretary, ministry of earth sciences (MoES) while making the IMD’s long range forecast for the 2021 southwest monsoon public.
India to see normal monsoon this year, forecasts IMD
By IANS |
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India to see normal monsoon this year, forecasts IMD. Image Source: IANS News
New Delhi, April 16 : India is expected to see normal rainfall during the monsoon season between June to September this year, as per the India Meteorological Department (IMD) forecast.
Addressing a virtual press briefing, Earth Sciences Secretary Madhavan Rajeevan said that the Long Period Average (LPA) of monsoon will be 98 per cent which falls in the normal category. This is good news for all as the monsoon is expected to be normal this year, Rajeevan said. Rainfall between 96-104 per cent of the LPA is considered normal.