The southwest monsoon is expected to make onset over Kerala around May 31 against the normal date of June 1 and “its advance soi far has been near normal and conditions will continue to be favourable for its onset over Indian mainland,” said Mrutyunjay Mohapatra, director general of meteorology, IMD.
GUWAHATI: The Indian Meteorological Department (IMD), in its updated long-range forecast for the southwest monsoon season that spans from June to Sept.
Why weather experts extend hope of a good monsoon in 2021
Why weather experts extend hope of a good monsoon in 2021 | India Today Insight
If their forecasts are proved right, this will be the third normal south west monsoon in a row and good news for the farm economy
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UPDATED: April 19, 2021 21:00 IST
An Indian farmer ploughs a paddy field following monsoon rain in Phafamau village near Allahabad on July 27, 2019. (Photo by SANJAY KANOJIA /AFP)
In the midst of a sweltering summer and a raging pandemic, weather watchers have raised expectations of rains aplenty for the third year in a row, ruling out completely the prospects of 2021 being a drought year. The last time India had three consecutive years of normal monsoon was between 1996 and 1998.
NEW DELHI: The India Meteorological Department (IMD) has this year adopted a new forecasting strategy and more sophisticated comprehensive scientific model to come out with monthly forecasts during the monsoon season from May onwards, making it possible for farmers, government authorities, disaster managers and other users to plan their activities in much better ways.
The new dynamical model was also used to generate the first stage southwest monsoon forecast on Friday, predicting normal rainfall in the country during June-September period.
It also for the first time released a map at this stage, showing state-wise probability rainfall forecast for the 2021 southwest monsoon season. This map gives a broad idea as to how the monsoon is likely to perform in states/UTs during the four-month rainy season.