May 5, 2021
India has administered 158 million Covid-19 vaccine doses as of May 4, in a country of 1.4 billion people. With vaccination supplies dwindling, and delivery rates dropping however, the government’s goal to vaccinate 300 million Indians by August 2021 cannot possibly be realized.
Due to poor quality data, it’s difficult to predict when this milestone will be reached. In order to make a guess, a number of assumptions must be made. At the current rate of vaccine delivery, which dropped from 3.5 million a day in March to an average of 1.6 million daily doses this week, and assuming vaccine supplies keep up with that rate, it will take until February 2022 for the country to vaccinate 300 million people. And that’s still only 20% of the population.