Good monday morning, welcome to squawk alley joining us this morning, Roger Mcnamee, elevations partner cofounder. A lot to get to with roger today. Speaking of which, the dow kicks off the week in the green, but while were in the midst of this record run, some are questioning if a top is near we want to pose that question to you, roger, because youve been kind of skeptical about this runup for a while now i wonder if you think youre hypersensitive to signs of a top. Well, you know, its funny, carl my sensitivity is based on just looking at the situation, you know, politically and how all of that relates to markets. To my mind whats going on right now is very simple, you know, we have a massive tax cut thats running its way through congress, and i think the market is making a really good judgment that in all probability some portion of that tax cut is going to go through and thats going to reward investors in a big way. Now, does that make the top . It could easily do so. This could be
Terranova. He plays a great guitar . Its called the mr. Wonderful. Its built by fender i was a shareholder in fender for years and i made no money. Joe, was he actually playing the guitar he was. This wasnt a milli vanilli situation . No. No billy gibbons, the zz top guy, who im in awe of as a rocker tweeted me and said hey, hey, not bad, but youre leaving a little on the e chord. Hes an investor he watches cnbc. This is good. Joe, were excited to have you. Thank you for getting up early on a holiday week. The last day of trading for 2017 lets tell you where u. S. Equity futures are. Theyve been negative throughout the morning. S p is the only average that would open in positive territory if it were to open up now, up by 3 points overnight in asia, final trading night of the year has come and gone largely mixed. The nikkei slightly negative hong kong positive as well as shanghai 2017 finished off with a gain of nearly 20 for the nikkei. Look at that 19 year to date look at crude. Weve
Negatively. The dow opened lower, the nasdaq lower by 6. We had a multibillion dollar deal. Teva acquiring allergan. We should tell you that teva is officially withdrawing its off for mylan. You may have remembered they made that offer as a hostile offer. It was not morninging. Mylan which located outside of the u. S. Became a bizarre beneficiary of moving outside because of the way the governments rules work abroad were they relocated it made it much more difficult for teva to pursue a deal. How do you think the mylan shareholders feel about the big fight . How do they feel this morning . In the immediate case i think that they cant be thrilled. Longterm, mylans ceo has made the argument and i actually buy it that theres more value to them reinvesting by reinvesting and being independent. So well see what happens there. Can i ask a really important question . Yes. Friends of mine would like to know. Does this get us any closer to a botox thats what friends would like to know . I have
Day. Well begin with the market and whats been anything but a summer sizzle for stocks. Now comes august which is historically hard for investors. The s p has fallen 2. 5 in each of the past five years. As we look towards whats ahead in august, five months to go, does everything hinge on whether the fed hikes Interest Rates in september . I mean, if thats really the case, then i have good news for you. The market says theres no shot. If you look at the cmes fed watch and you believe that the market is getting things right as we get closer, theres a much higher likelihood that you see a december hike. I think a 25 basis point hike is like 42 . Even october, theyre talking about a 20 some odd percent chance. If thats what youre truly focusing all your attention on, the timing of the first hike, you have some time. To hang out in the panic room. If youre more rational, you say to yourself, strongly hinting theyll do something. Even if its a token gesture. Theres absolutely no guarantee th
Wednesday on wednesday, the employment report for july will come out with International Trade. On thursday, well get jobless claims. And that all leads to fridays big jobs report. See what theyre suggesting about the open at this hour. The dow flat course the board. Disney, dreamworks, time warner, fox, all on the calendar. Stiefel is raising its price target. And seeing the stock getting to 130 a share. Also has a value rating on those shares. Disney up 40 over the past year. Harder and harder to come up with something new, isnt it . And Mission Impossible big opening. 56 million. I saw it i saw it on wall street. I liked it. Tim, tim hanging on the side of the airplane which is pretty cool. I think with the people involved with insuring tom cruise, its like at times. With tim on the motorcycle which is going 130. Mission impossible did you used to watch it . The original tv show. It was pretty cool what they had had to do. Alec baldwin was a bad guy to start, ahead of the cia, and th