Vinod Karki, Equity Strategist at ICICI Securities, highlights market trends with a focus on domestic cyclicals, defensives, and FPI buying behavior. He anticipates a tapering down of earnings growth from a low base, emphasizing the importance of maintaining valuations in the market. Karki points out that DIIs and FIIs being an equal footing in terms of net buying is keeping our markets relatively expensive .
The Nifty s PE ratio, based on trailing earnings, has dropped to 22 times from 33 times on March 30, 2021. Analysts said the PE ratio suggests the Nifty is trading at fair valuations, which means the index is neither cheap nor expensive.
Reliance Industries, owned by Mukesh Ambani, has become the largest wealth creator on Dalal Street with a market capitalization of Rs 20 lakh crore. It is bigger than American giants like McDonald s, PepsiCo, Netflix, and Accenture. RIL is also the only Indian company among the world s 50 most valuable companies and is also one of the top candidates to become India s first $1 trillion stock.
India s first $1 trillion company by market capitalisation (mcap) is achievable by 2032 and HDFC Bank and Reliance Industries (RIL) are seen as lead contenders, ICICI Securities said in a note on Monday.
To achieve this, the shares of both the firms will have to appreciate at least 20 per cent annually for the next decade. ICICI Securities believes this is possible if India s gross domestic product (GDP) growth accelerates to 9 per cent per annum and corporate profitability cycle peaks. Our calculations suggest that India s first $1 trillion mcap stock could emerge by 2032.
Vinod Karki expects a peak in the profit to GDP cycle to drive the emergence of $1 trillion companies in India by 2032. He believes that companies like HDFC Bank, Reliance, and Bajaj Finance have the potential to reach this milestone based on their past growth rates and hurdle rates. However, TCS is not included in the list due to its lower earnings growth and higher hurdle rate. Valuations are currently at an all-time high, and Karki does not anticipate any further PE reratings to define these $1 trillion companies.