reiterate and civil society. indeed i must reiterate i and civil society. indeed i must reiterate i am proud of my nation, of how reiterate i am proud of my nation, of how we reiterate i am proud of my nation, of how we dealt with the first flux of how we dealt with the first flux of refugees. however, now, we are in a vulnerable of refugees. however, now, we are in a vulnerable position. at least six people a vulnerable position. at least six people have been killed in a shooting in the supermarket and state shooting in the supermarket and state of shooting in the supermarket and state of virginia. it is shooting in the supermarket and state of virginia. shooting in the supermarket and state of virginia. it is the second mass shooting state of virginia. it is the second mass shooting in state of virginia. it is the second mass shooting in the state of virginia. it is the second mass shooting in the us - state of virginia. it is the second mass shooting in the us i
real shot. they understand they are in deep trouble. they is tried to expand the map because they know in a state like ohio where they have to win, no republican has ever been elected without carrying the state of ohio and they are behind and they are not catching up at this point. they will be in florida and virginia, two states you would assume by now they would have secured, they assume by now, they would secure, they understand the traditional or the battleground states which we have focused are not working out for them. now they are looking for somewhere desperately looking for somewhere to try and dislodge some electoral votes to win the election. that is not going to happen. chris: you bet your mustache on the president we securing person. how secure is your mustache? guest: i grant you the mustache will be right where it is today. and where it has been for 40
key swing states to ask you. you are trailing in wisconsin. you are trailing in pennsylvania, ohio, and iowa, and as you suggest, you are tied in the must win state of virginia where the obama campaign has made a late ad buy. we will get to the specific states in a moment. are you saying these polls, the public polls are wrong? or are you saying they could be right but you will win anyway because the ground game is better? the polls are like nailing jell-o to a tree all over the place and you will see polls being different in each state by each day. there are two numbers to keep in mind. one is independents. independents will decide this race in all of the states. governor romney consistently leads among independents. they have seen his message come forward creating 12 million
and real clear politics average says it is four-point margin for obama. it is 47-47, president obama well under 50 in a state he should be well over 50, there are a million more democrats in pennsylvania that republicans. energy is very important issue in the state of pennsylvania and in 2008 in the democrat primary, hillary clinton beat president obama by double digits after president obama was the nominee for the party. it is fertile ground. chris: what will you look at early on election night? what states in what counties? how will you know if it is going to be an early night or long night? how long do you think it will take for us to figure out who is the next president? guest: there will be a lot of key things but what we are
they will do better than john mccain. we may not do as well as we did in 2008 but we doing plenty well and well enough to win the race. chris: on florida, president obama is down by more than a point in the polls but you make the final advertising by the campaign there in florida, why not in the state you must win? we feel very competitive in the state of florida. there have been many polls and in all of the polls, the battleground state polls in the last 48 hours we are ahead in 90 percent including florida. there are a couple of mixed polls in florida but we are very pleased with where we are in early voting. we will go in election day with a large leap so we are competitive in florida and they know it. they are spending the time there. if they were comfortable in florida they would not spend as much time and money as they are