something i have done and will do as president of the united states. romney! romney! romney! if you believe we can do better, if you are tired of being tired i ask to vote for real change. we will bring real change to america on day one. when i m old elected the economy and the american job market will be stagnant but i will not waste time complaining about my predecessor or spend effort trying to pass partisan
they are deadly serious. the race is very much up for grabs. we are beginning to have last-minute surprises. i don t know if minnesota, mitch or wisconsin are in play but i think they. ii don t think michigan and minnesota are. it doesn t make sense that pennsylvania and florida are in play. i think everything is up for grabs right now and i think, personally, it is a mistake for romney to go to pennsylvania it will turn up the democratic vote in philadelphia, so, i don t quite understand that part of their strategy. i do think that florida and virginia are in play and that is stunning. for me, that obama people think they have a shot at those two states. chris: you saw the list of swing states in nine of the 12 states, obama leads by one to
the national polls have a tie. it is striking to see this difference. it is sobering if you are a romney supporter to think he is trailing or tied in so many of the states. could the polls be wrong? they could. whether they are, we are wait dog find out. chris: you have been traveling the country if weeks and months, jeff, your sense of where this stands 48 hours out? much different in battle ground states because of the advertising. people in ohio and people in iowa, florida, and virginia, have a different sense of the race. the reason pennsylvania is in play because there has not been a lot of advertising. in the battleground states and i was in ohio and wisconsin and iowa and what you pick up, there is a real sense of enthusiasm for the romney campaign.
50 percent, not above 50 percent but 50 percent in two, wisconsin and nevada, and wisconsin, he is only at 50 percent because there is one poll that has an eight-point lead. we have gone from cruising to victory in 2008 to a tight, tight, tight race in 2012. chris: a last question, what do you make of romney going to pennsylvania and what do you make of obama with last minute ad buys in florida and virginia. who is serious? who is bluffing in. they are all serious. president obama has difficulty in florida and virginia, where the clear politics average goes to romney and pennsylvania is in play. if president obama was comfortable with pennsylvania he what not be putting up television advertising there and if governor romney thought it was a bluff he would not spend time there.
seeing is that there is a general underperforming in places where president obama needs to do well and this is overperforming in places where governor romney does well. there is an intensity factor on the side of the republicans that there is a significant gap and we see it on the ground with people knocking on the door and when people are making phone calls and, again, it is back to the simple fact that governor romney is out there talking about big changes and big change not small things, so as we start to see returns coming in from new hampshire and southeast person and northern virginia and in ohio, it will become clear that there is going to be a wide-spread repudiation of the obama administration and form and congressman ryan will, elect the the next president and vice president of the united states. chris: what do you predict in 30 seconds? will we know earlier than we thought? guest: i am saying that