kansas in 2020. donald trump won convincingly, but if you come back to where we are now, to the initiative, you see the counties that biden won are all overwhelmingly voting no right now. is this the turnout gift, if you will, turnout issue for the democrats? that is one thing to watch tonight as we count the kansas vote. i think the more broadly don, whether you are looking at house republicans who voted to impeach donald trump in these key governor primaries, or senate republican primaries, it will bring missouri, up and let you jump in. how deep in the bloodstream of the republican party is this an attack on the democracy? after the january 6th hearings, after everything we have heard from donald trump s inside team, not rhinos, not democrats, not liberals, not deep status, after everything we have heard from trump s team about how he knew it was a lie, he kept pushing, corruptly tried to steal an election. republican voters, will they say they had a network embrace it? john king,
moment? what are democrats and republicans saying about how big of an issue this will be in november? i would never the 1992 campaign, that was called the year of the women, that was after casey decision which said that states would impose reasonable restriction. and women opposed that did not like casey. there was a significant or not it is also a presidential year end with the democratic-leaning year, do we know when this midterm year, with a rather big economic factors, is this the mobilizing turnout issue that the democrats believe it can bequeath people i have talked to over the last couple of weeks, they are in a quandary about it, frankly. they recognize that this could be a significant factor in november, but they are not convinced that it will be a significant factor. we have kind of gone through this at different times, and we know that the opponents of abortion, it has been over a long period of time, and those who defend abortion-rights kind of, and go on this issue, and
lines. the new lines is a plus 15 towards democrats. republicans are taking a victory lap, and they re taking a victory lap on 7% turnout. this wasn t a persuasion issue, this was a turnout issue. it s not that hispanic voters turned out for republicans the way they claimed and believe this will translate to places like nevada and arizona. the fact that democrats didn t actually spend enough money to turn their people out. and that s what the red flag is. the red flag is, when you re a party in power, you have to motivate your voters, motivate your base, and give them a reason to turn out and you have to spend that money to turn out hispanic, black voters, women, young voters, and they didn t do that. scott, to the point that she just made, 7% is bad. even here in new york where turnout is usually abysmal, that is bad. that is one of the lowest turnouts i ve ever heard. so what do you say to this her
and the mystery of what happens and the first clues come when we get exit polls in just under two hours. what are you looking for? how many biden voters are voting youngkin. ultimately that would that to me is the mystery. when you put your three things up there. the math tells me one thing based on if 95% of biden voters vote mcauliffe and 95% of trump voters vote youngkin, then it is a turnout issue. and the balance could be just enough that gives youngkin this. the math is difficult for youngkin without persuading some biden voters to vote for him. i want to see of that 2020 vote, is it double digits? i think for youngkin to pull this off, he needs to be in the double digits of biden voters, somewhere in that 10% to 15% range of biden voters. in the exit poll, that could be a clue to find.
to youngkin. he has got the enthusiasm, the messaging seems to be flowing youngkin s way on education, on taxes, on all of the things that are being debated right now. glenn has that momentum and now he has the late money rush, too. so when you have the message. you have got the momentum. you have got the money. by the way, on this turnout issue for tomorrow, 55% is not a huge number for republicans. donald trump got over 60% of the vote on election day. much different, much different because a lot of people voted early. i get it but things do look pretty good for glenn youngkin. but cautiously optimistic. rnc chairwoman has done a great job. i think it s going to be very, very, very close. bret: you know, mo, obviously this election, like others, we ll see a lot of mail-in ballots. the early vote is a big deal here. and you re over 20% of the commonwealth already voting