The news flow absolutely extraordinary. I want to get to the markets in a moment. The president tweeting. Weve got two longer tweets today. Both tweets say get out and vote. We will leave it at that. I am sure we will hear much more from a president in the white house today, masked or massless, as well. I want to go to it is clearly the market story, and a nice recovery here with yields getting right back to the enthusiasm of yesterday. Jonathan i think the three issues youve got to look at, one is the improving health of the president , according to his doctors. Another is the momentum. Three if the prospect that we dont have a contested outcome. Going off of the national polls, and i know the risks around that, this is a snapshot of where things are, not a production of where they will be. The snapshot right now, 57 40 1 , according to the poll yesterday. Cnn, the 57 being joe biden, and 41 being donald trump, that poll conducted from october 4. That is important because we have been
And lisa abramowicz, im jonathan ferro. Is one of the worst charts in the world. With the Stoxx Bank Index hitting a record low, you wonder where that folds into the system. Jonathan theres a line i remember from the former ecb president mario draghi, when he turned around and said rates have to be lower and out to be higher in the future. It was 2014. They just went negative. They are still there. Will we generate an economic recovery on the continent that leads to higher Interest Rates . The answer right now is not any soon. Tom bring up that chart. It is really an elegant chart. This is the thing that we were talking about. It is the xaxis of all of this. Whether it is the european back malaise pushing back 12 years, even 14 years, it is the duration of these agonies we have to focus on. Jonathan weve just never recovered. This week, the equity benchmark , the daxurt, germany since then, we are down, we are down almost 6 . Tom how do you measure the mystery of what is going on and w
Extraordinary august. We had such important conversations. Lets get to the data quickly. And3, dow futures up 132, we are all casual. Chairman powell was casual yesterday. Im sure mr. Kaplan will be casual for Michael Mckee in a moment. Thein the time of within tumult, everyone is being casual. Lisa are we going to keep the bowtie . This is going to be the question as the fed shifts their inflation their inflation policy. Lisa this is an important conversation, as he spoke to James Bullard yesterday, as we spoke to William Dudley moments ago. Michael mckee advances the discussion with mr. Kaplan of dallas. Michael thank you, tom. Good morning. Thank you very much for joining us today on Bloomberg Radio and television worldwide, and thank you for not wearing a tie and not making, adhere. [laughter] not making tom look bad here. Robert i try. Michael there are those who safety framework review changes all well and good, but what makes you think you can even get to 2 inflation, let alone
Radio and Bloomberg Television across this nation. It is not a usual august. It is highly unusual, different from 1998. Certainly some of these trends are draw dropping are jawdropping. Bonds participate. It is decidedly risk on. Lisa although you have to say, when you got a 10 year yield below 1 , to say it is a decidedly different tone with yields going up indicates just where we are in this cycle. I will say, also important to note that is yields rise, bond prices down, you are seeing real yields remain deeply negative. Tom deeply negative and plunging right now. 1. 00s the right word, at and now at 1. 03 on the u. S. Tenyear. That is a really extraordinary drop. Saw,own near the lows we but this will be a huge theme. What will you listen for from chairman powell on thursday . Lisa basically, how much they are going to keep yields low and how much they perceive themselves looking at the reality of the economy today. I really think it is important to note that even as yields move up,
Beautiful moon with the super moon back in the forecast and tonight you will get to see it. Dealing with patchy, dense fog at this point. We have seen it day after day. Through that area, if you have an Early Morning drive, you can see the darker shade of gray indicates that dense fog with visibility down to quartermile in that area. A low 60 in san jose. Air quality issues are spare the air. Just a little change in the forecast with light wind and moderate to slightly unhealthy airquality expected. Also a little coastal flooding as the king tides are back. I am tracking rain for 2018 coming up. Thank you rosemary. We are monitoring the rows what roadways this is highway 20 for an la fayette. There is fog happening here. Cars are making their way through the fog easily. We will bring you alive look at the eastshore freeway with cars on the road and nothing to mention in the world of traffic problems. Now a final peek at the bay bridge toll plaza which tells the story of the Early Morni