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Arctic sea ice thinning faster than expected

Sea ice thickness is inferred by measuring the height of the ice above the water, and this measurement is distorted by snow weighing the ice floe down. Scientists adjust for this using a map of snow depth in the Arctic that is decades out of date. In the new study, researchers swapped this map for the results of a new computer model designed to estimate snow depth as it varies year to year.

Predicting the ocean: Improved forecast and insights for the Mediterranean and Black Seas

Daily bulletins, an increased model resolution, and novel parameterization schemes: new scientific products are used to produce new Mediterranean and Black Seas operational forecasts for Copernicus Marine Environment Monitoring Service (CMEMS) by a team of CMCC researchers.

Study of past South Asian monsoons suggests stronger monsoon rainfall in the future

New research finds that increases in monsoon rainfall over the past million years were linked with increases in atmospheric CO2 and the import of moisture from the southern hemisphere, which suggests stronger rains in the future as CO2 levels rise.

Extreme rainfall: More accurate predictions in a changing climate

High resolution climate models can improve predictions of extreme rainfall events. An international study involving CMCC scientists presents the first multi-model ensemble of high-resolution regional climate models and offers a promising prospect for studies on climate and climate change at local and regional scales.

Tipping elements can destabilize each other, leading to climate domino effects

Under global warming, tipping elements in the Earth system can destabilize each other and eventually lead to climate domino effects. The ice sheets on Greenland and West Antarctica are potential starting points for tipping cascades, a novel network analysis reveals. The Atlantic overturning circulation would then act as a transmitter, and eventually elements like the Amazon rainforest would be impacted. The consequences for people would reach from sea-level rise to biosphere degradation.

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