tomorrow s contest is now out. if the trends in this poll hold, donald trump is going to pull off a win by an unprecedented margin for a republican or a democratic presidential candidate in iowa. this is the final nbc news des moines registry iowa pole ahead of tomorrow s caucuses. trump, his lead is down ever so slightly, by the way. this is what was in december, 51. now he is at 48. you can see that he has 28 point lead over his next closest competitor, nikki haley. nikki haley s first choice support, meanwhile, rose from 60 to 20 points. ron desantis support has slipped three points from last month, 19 to 16. vivek ramaswamy is an out below, heat remains below 10%. the current record margin of victory in the iowa republican caucus says for a non incumbent candidates is 13 points. that was set by bob dole in 1980. trump wins to more by anything remotely close to what these polls were predicted, he won t make history. that s an addition to the history that donald trump is al
Other way. this is decided from the start, to be honest. we are angling out what the narrative will be when it s over. that said, van, if one is looking for something to stare at at the screen, to pop up, look for the alerts to breathe, and the reports to listen to from you and dasha on monday night, the storm becomes how much donald trump wins by, whether he achieves expectations or doesn t, but really, what happens next with nikki haley, who, as that comment, it is going to new hampshire with more strength. that will depend on how she performs tomorrow in iowa. right. look, ali, when we re talking about nikki haley, the expectation coming out of this poll is that she comes in second place in knocks a run to santa s. for nikki haley, the striking number from that poll is the fact that just 9% of the votes, you said, that they intended in
Fewer people are as enthusiasts about her as they are about the other candidates. what does this all mean? vaughn is giving me the strong silent look. let me pause for a second. i will go back to him once he has our audio. josh, you look like you are in a relatively warm place. it s iowa, it s winter. i m not sure why everyone is fascinated by this weather, but it could affect turnout. yeah, because it is pretty bad out there, ali. listen, when i was out there earlier this morning, the re - it was negative 39. i do not know how to describe to you what that is like. people are actually concerned that it could impact caucus goers at the stage. when you talk about there with enthusiast some, that is where that is going to matter. how enthusiasts are voters about their candidates, to go
Do not have to change their registration. in south carolina, folks can choose whether they take part in that democratic primary, or the south carolina primary. is that enough to conquer the republican nomination? this is the same conversation i had in wyoming back when nikki cheney was running. ali, the question was what who would change the registration to help nikki haley. a good number did. liz cheney is still lost by 45 percentage points to harry while they helped out a few percentage points, it was not enough to beat the trump backed candidate. that is the question i will look like and iowa. zak, in this last poll, when it came out, i only am interested in how far ahead donald trump s. something struck me. there is a question i want to show you here that stood out to me. the question is, how the iowa voters vote for if donald trump became the gop nominee.
That does it for the weekend the sunday morning. i m simone sanders-townsend, along with my friends, alicia menendez and we will see you back here bright and early, saturday and sunday at 8 to 10 eastern. follow the show on social media at the weekend msnbc. velshi starts right now. hey, ali. how are you? i m great. you looks great to. me you re still talking to each other? you re not in club where. i don t know who you have book today, i will not be outdone before my show starts. you are fabulous. thank you for two great shows, and continued success. we will enjoy the show next weekend. have a great time. i ll see you through the course of the week. good morning to all of you. it is sunday, january the 14th. i m ali velshi. we are now a day away from what is shaping up to be a historic republican caucus and iowa. the final police ahead of