where i think, well, i think mcsally has a good chance, the base voters are going to choose someone closer to the base. that is ward. i think what will happen is, look, voters know that martha mcsally is a flip-flopper. that s why her colleagues didn t endorse her. joe arpaio, they know he can t win in a general election. who are they left with? kelly ward. it s an interesting context. you have interesting circumstances in arizona. this is home to two senators, two republican senators, relatively moderate and willing to challenge this president. mccain passed away and flake is leaving. they could be replaced with much more trump spian republicans. they all think mcsally is ahead by ten or 12 points. i wonder, though, i wonder if
turns out. my sources tell me republican turnout, they think, in this primary is going to be up. the problem they are seeing is democrats are going to be up even more. so, republicans are very nervous about this. i think looking back to 2016, now, i think arizona every four years is over hyped as democrats get it done and then they don t. what a lot of republicans were telling me, leading up to the november election in 16 is they thought hillary clinton had a shot to win. once the comey letter came out, the bottom dropped out. there s a reason for democrats to be optimistic. if mcsally wins, indications are she is going to win, she s got a good chance to defeat because she s won a tough battle house district and hugged trump just enough. i ll say this, the fact of the matter, i think arizona is going to shape up to be a big disappointment for republicans like west virginia and alabama,
all three of those buildings are named after that one generation of senators. it is appropriate to take one of them and name it after mccain. mccain s office was in russell. i remember many times going up the stairs to see him and the staff. that makes it nice. really quick here, the fact that you are saying mitch mcconnell has to check in with senators because they have a history of supporting segregation is an indictment of the republicans. yes. you should be like, i mean, say segregation was bad. i m glad we are there. i think we can say that. if we are at that point, take the win. thanks very much to the panel. a lot to discuss today. a new report of secret letters suggesting president trump jumped the gun when he said north korea was no longer a nuclear threat to the u.s. if you have psoriasis, .
the campaign trail. trump has not formally endorsed one. nick watt is in paradise valley. whoever the republicans pick, he is going to have a tough battle in the general election, right? reporter: this is going to be hard, tough and extremely important. if the democrats want to take the senate, they need arizona. it can be done. trump won by 3.6%. right now, 35% of registered voters are registered as independent. this is a seat that anyone can really win. this election, it s not just for arizona but the entire country. long shadows of president trump and the late senator, john mccain, hang heavy over this race.
first reported jeff flake s comments, kelly ward tweeted, let s prove flake wrong. obviously, we are looking out for who wins, but the turnout. a high turnout suggests high engagement in the race come november. early indications, the turnout could be historic. nick, thank you very much. back to the panel now. martha mcsally more to the middle, ward and arpaio. in a district where trump won the election or the state by three points in 2016, is this a primary thing? the candidates are running close to trump and the winner would go back to the center in the general? the winner is going to have to shift center at least in the general election. it s a tough environment with the republicans where so much of the vote is coming out of the phoenix summer. they have been drifting away and will have a big say in how this