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but first let s go right to nbc meteorologist bonnie schneider for the latest track. looks like dorian really is targeting south florida now. that s right. most of the models have shifted further south and west, both not good news and what s interesting is that the forecast calls for dorian to slow down. but right now, a category 2 storm moving to the northwest at 12. i want to look at the satellite perspective because even though there s some shear happening, this storm is coming over a much more favorable environment. let s look at the track because if you re just getting up and the way that things have really shifted, we re still expecting a category 4 storm. which is really unprecedented and historical. if we go back to 2017 and 18 we had category 4 storms hitting florida. are we going to see that again this year? that would make three consecutive times that occurred.