look mom we did it no hands. i m just telling you this because you are a deer and long term friend of mine. i can t think of anyone better to do this than you. i can t think of anyone better prepared to do it. the first day that i had to show i was a nervous wreck and i was barely breathing in my bpm was probably 145 a minute, but you are a cool customer you say that and i mean a pass out in a minute. but for the audience at home that may not know. who was incredibly a brilliant choice by the bosses here, but also i m just so excited to watch. you chris, i am excited and thrilled and it feels so right that i get to take the reins from you my friend. for so many years i m so honored to share the stage with you and thank you for everything. all right, i m gonna go watch. enough thank you chris. i am thrilled to be here and honored to have this hour every night tuesday through friday s to spend with you. like most of you watching right now, i ve been a longtime v
we re gonna see some of the smaller ones around the state. this isn t too small. but here, you re looking at, again, you ve got the absentee vote from sweet water county, and hageman is already running well over 70% of the vote here. they re gonna end up with 5000, 6000, 7000 votes or so totally out of this county, and hageman is already ruling up the score against liz cheney. there s a lot of sweet water counties, just making sure they are political leanings. so, you put those two together right away, and you don t have the makings of the kind of surprised that liz cheney was hoping for. where could she look on this map? i mean, this is geographically big, we are jackson hole s. this is an anomaly in wyoming. this is a blue county. biden won it by 32 points. while geographically big, it only makes up about 5% of the primary vote. cheney will do well there. albany county down here, again, this is where the university of wyoming, this is the only other counting the state that joe biden
i think it s a primary night but in a lot of ways it s a reckoning for the republican party and i think we should probably read a lot into what s happening and wyoming. i don t remember and all my years covering politics a wyoming republican primary being an event that felt big, but this does feel big, because i think we all know the result is that probably liz cheney will lose. but also as she has said and, the sounds like a rationalization but it s not, it s the beginning of something. i don t think she s gonna go anywhere. i think she will get a lot of attention going forward with the january 6th commission, and look, she s made it a pretty firm objective of hers to bring down donald trump. that is her goal. i d be shocked if she even mentioned harriet hageman tonight, except in a cursory i just received a phone call or whatever. it s a big night and it s sort of signifies a step forward. it ll also be sad in some ways. can she take on donald trump from outside the republican pa
folks left the democratic party, joining the republican party this year. the answer i think, to some degree, yes. on january 1st, there were over 45,000 registered democrats and wyoming. that number is down to 36, 000, coming into today. there could be in a number of reasons for folks to leave the democratic party. but if we just accept the premise for the sake of argument today, let us say every single one of these was a democrat, who wanted to read register republicans to vote in today s primary. you can see that s about 9000, 10,000 votes, that illicit cheney could get out of that. that is, you know nothing, not nothing but you re talking about a republican electorate here of potentially over 200,000 voters. and we ve seen polling in this race, and when you look at folks who are registered republicans, that is where harriet hageman has just run up massive, massive numbers against liz cheney. so if cheney could bring in 10,000 new votes into this republican pool, good for her,
but and that is small. and that is sort of the paddle in the ocean, i guess, might be the analogy we re going for their. the republican registration is just so massive, and then, among republicans, hageman s advantage has just been so massive. so, i think it has happened. but i don t even know if it s possible in a state like wyoming, to happen in this kind of scale, somebody like liz cheney would need it to happen. she needed to make, needs to make inroads with folks who are republicans, before january 1st, 2022. more a phone in the side of a republican elephant, and i just leave that metaphor there. steve kornacki, thank you. exactly, thank you, steve. we will be checking with you, as we do throughout the night. up next, the judge will authorize the search warrant on mar-a-lago sets a date for a hearing on whether he will release the affidavit but convinced him to authorize the search. former u.s. attorney joyce vance joins us live, right here, coming up next.