Photo Illustration by Thomas Levinson/The Daily Beast/Getty/ReutersBe skeptical of predictions about the outcome of the 2024 elections. I say this, because as someone who quite often is asked to make such predictions on TV or in columns like this one, I long ago came to realize there is every incentive for commentators to sound certain and very little cost to being wrong.For the punditerati, that is a good thing, because we are wrong so frequently. But if you are actually trying to figure out wh