ticking. polls open in alabama in just 39 hours. u.s. senate candidate roy moore once again denying the allegations against him in his first tv interview in weeks. take a listen. i do not know them. i had no encounter with them. i ve never molested anyone. and for them to say that, i don t know why they re saying it, but it s not true. all right, this as president trump threw his full support behind the twice unseated supreme court justice following his camping style rally in pensacola, florida. the president recording a robocall set to go live in just a couple hours in alabama. joining me now to go beyond the divide of all of this, michael dowd in, political reporter for wsfa 12 news in montgomery, alabama. also, kyle wittmier, state political columnist for alabama media group. thank you for joining me just a couple days away from a huge election in your state. michael, you re on the streets of alabama every single day and the eyes of alabamians, are roy moore s policies worth
literally beat up a reporter and he was welcomed in the house. a lot of this is just about power dynamic in washington, d.c. this is not some huge moral stand by mitch mcconnell. i want to show everyone the latest polling on the race here. if you take a look at these polls, moore appears to still be ahead. if you look at the lead that he had before the allegations versus now, it is clear, according to the polls at least, that the allegations have had an effect. we should caution some of these polls are robo polls. it can be difficult to get good polling that matches nbc s standards. wouldn t these polls explain precisely why roy moore is still in this race? i think roy moore is still in the race because he thinks he can win. i think a lot of republicans here in washington are very concerned that he s going to win. i think he s obviously not admitted any wrongdoing so far. they re pushing back, sending
giving, projectsing the attitude like i elected this guy, president trump tends to react somewhat hostily. as you said, public poles show a big, big lead for moore over luther strange, but frankly i think the race is a lot closer than that. i think a lot of these public polls are robo polls. they re not terribly good ones. they are the kind of polls that tell us that hillary clinton would be fine in wisconsin and michigan and pennsylvania. and some of the more some of the pollsters who i trust are showing this race to be very, very, very close. yes. trying to make sense of these polls out there. i ve been seeing pollster names pop up i ve never heard of before. a lot of potential red herrings out there, but when we talk about bannon, one thing it illustrates here is that president trump in ways by backing strange who s the governors, former governors
just four nights from now, nbc news will be projecting the winner of the presidential election. joining us now is john lapinski, who will be in charge of making that decision to make that projection as the director of elections for nbc news. so, john, 10:20 p.m. tuesday night. might we know as early as then? look, i mean, we really don t know this early on in the sense of when we re going to be projecting this. i mean, i saw you had sam wang on earlier. 99% chance. there s a lot of people that think it s a lot less than that. and you know the thing is that one of the when professor wang was talking about the data, one of the problems we have is he said that he based his models on state polls. a lot of the better projections do that. but one of the issues that we have is there is not we have a lot of polls but a lot of them aren t very good. a lot of them are robo polls, some of them are low quality
99% chance. there s a lot of people that think it s a lot less than that. and you know the thing is that one of the when professor wang was talking about the data, one of the problems we have is he said that he based his models on state polls. a lot of the better projections do that. but one of the issues that we have is there is not we have a lot of polls but a lot of them aren t very good. a lot of them are robo polls, some of them are low quality online polls so that s where all of this uncertainty comes about so i think that there is a lot of people that are sort of wondering, like, sort of where are we in some of these states and a lot of the battleground states, even though it appears in the national polls that clinton has a lead, a lot of battleground states are very close. what do you make of that target smart analysis we presented a few days ago, where they studied very specifically the early vote in florida and they basically did an exit poll of the early vote and t