the robo polls out there, all of them showing some movement toward the president. the point was the president was ahead before going moo convention, and he s still ahead coming out of it. body language is everything, right? we know the romney campaign believes they re behind. the map has slunk, yes, wisconsin is in play, no, pennsylvania and michigan are not. it s a narrow path for romney. he s behind and i think it s down to convention s a missed opportunity. the pressure on him to win that first debate. he doesn t win the first debate i don t know how i completely agree with that. and i think that you can tell the democrats won the pairing of the conventions because liberals say the democrats won. but a lot of conservatives think the democrats won the convention. and i think a couple of things happened. one, bill clinton, as my colleague greg sargent noted is for a lot of undecided voters a kind of referee, vouching agent on the economy. a lot of voters say look, we were gang bus
he should be strong and capable and say i have the talent to turn around your crisis. chuck what about, is there a bump? is there any discernible bump? if we only have a couple of the robo polls out there, all of them showing some movement toward the president. the point was the president was ahead before going into the convention, and he s still ahead coming out of it. body language is everything, right? we know the romney campaign believes they re behind. the map has shrunk, yes, wisconsin is in play, no, pennsylvania and michigan are not. it s a narrow path for romney. he s behind and i think it s down to convention s a missed opportunity. the pressure on him to win that first debate. he doesn t win the first debate i don t know how i completely agree with that. and i think that you can tell the democrats won the pairing of the conventions because liberals say the democrats won. but a lot of conservatives think the democrats won the convention. and i think a couple of things
there was a quinnipiac poll taken right before the wisconsin contest showing rick santorum actually leading just by 6 percentage points in his home state and the robo polls that were taken after that that showed him possibly even losing to mitt romney. so having, losing to mitt romney in your home state would have actually marred all the things that he s accomplished. the 11 contests that he s won so far and the fact that he is actually, the person out of everyone else who is running for president who emerged as mitt romney s chief rival. to your point, you name a laund relist of things that rick santorum could tout his accomplishment. the snl jokes had him in the basement when they parodied the debate that he was so far out, of the cost petition, that he was that even on stage. i m just getting the news. mark, nbc news has confirmed that rick santorum is suspending
confidence voters have in not just the president but his party at any given time. think of it as a dow jones industrial style index of sorts. basically, how popular is the president s party at a time of an election. you can look at past vcis and see how it correlates with election results. not quite a predictor in how a party will do in the election, but a sense of the mood of the country during an election, and it certainly helps explain what happened. our political unit created the index by looking at three commonly asked poll questions from all of the major national surveys, not just ours, like the nbc wall street journal poll but others connected by fox, nbc, reuters, abc, politico, you get it of the just don t use robo polls. we look at what voters think about the direction of the country, and the generic congressional ballot, alwaysf t. a positive number is generally a good sign for a sitting president and his party while a negative number is not. we have calculated vcis for
is full on, make gingrich completely unacceptable. whatever it takes. what they are not showing anything yet and maybe this is coming. maybe this is coming in a couple of days. how to fix the mitt problem. there is a mitt problem there or he wouldn t be losing to conservatives by a near 2-1 margin in south carolina. he wouldn t be seeing his leads collapse at a moment s notice. because his leads have collapsed. the robo polls are probably overinflating the newt surge but the campaign pollsters all have this race is neck and neck. why don t the republican smart guys around mitt romney remember what jimmy carter tried to do to ronald reagan? instead of building up jimmy carter they said you can t vote for ronald reagan and the public, the electorate said, oh, yeah? oh, yeah? we re going to vote for him because we don t like you. there are a couple of problems for mitt romney. he can t credibly attack newt gingrich from the right. now, joe scarborough, our