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A summer third wave: it s the nightmare scenario we all are hoping won t happen when Britain opens up for business on June 21. But predictions of surging Covid-19 infection rates by the Government s scientific advisers would suggest it was almost inevitable. According to a report last month from the Scientific Pandemic Influenza Group on Modelling (SPI-M), which advises the Government on the threat from infectious diseases, despite the success of the Covid jabs, even a small number of unvaccinated Britons could be enough to trigger exponential growth of the virus by early summer.  A pessimistic but plausible scenario would involve hospitals once again filled to the brim and deaths on a similar scale to that seen in January.

City ofUnited kingdomPablo murciaPaul hunterMark woolhouseNadhim zahawiRichard wellerChris whittyLawrence youngKing college londonScientific pandemic influenza group on modellingUniversity of east angliaUniversity of glasgowUniversity of edinburghUniversity of liverpoolWorld health organisation