the coverage about arizona gubernatorial candidate carrie lake from the big three networks was negative. now, despite that, lakes stil is still up by nearll y three in the most recent rcp average and she joins me now. now, carrie, first of all, it s great to see you tonight.t. okay, this is hysterically funny. and one way, another way. it s very depressing. but ho but how are you copingw ar with this news? ethat the coverage has been 100% negative? do you need like been a a fruit basket or do you need any kind of like a security blanket to get yourself through thisme? difficult time? i need a saf i need e space spae and an emotional support animal to get through it. nal suppi m going to wear it ase of honor, truly, that the fake news media sees this movement ba of mama bears out herers inas sc arizona as such a threateir ag to their agenda that they reenrd running 100% negative storiesg n on me. g
than most polling firms. and it s been other firms like the new york times, siena and some of these other mainstream media polls that have had big misses and been less accurate. so that s point number one . point number two is it s just not true that it s these are all republican polls. you just mentioned the st. anselm college poll in new hampshire. we had a morning call poll in pennsylvania that showed that race tied. we have 15 polls in our rcp average of the generic congressional ballot, and the average is about two point eight for republicans. but even the democratic firms like democracy corps have republicans two points data for progress. another democratic firm has republicans up four points. so it s just not true that this is some sort of grand conspiracy that s trying to manipulate the averages. they just don t like what they re seeing. well, they weren t claiming any problems. like, i don t know, eight weeks ago. and the democrats looked pretty good in these state. there wa
closing for democrats in years past and that is republicans want to t take away your social security and medicare what about that pitch and tone right now? we have been hearing that claim about republicans slashing social security and medicare for as long as i can remember going back decades. recent election cycles there hasn t been any serious proposals coming from republicans to touch those programs. donald trump basically ruled it out and nobody seriously proposing it now. old saw use used by the democrats and comes out nearly every election cycle. those two things have not been an issue in this campaign and no reason for them to be. for what are reason democrats are going to try whatever worked in the past. just like obama he has worked in the past, too. they think he stands a little bit better with the people than mr. biden does given his approval ratings and job approval numbers. bret: rcp average of the direction of the country and we
voters. going to the governor s race in oregon. would have the first republican there in 40 years to take the governorship. first republican in 40 years and perfect storm for the republicans here and unpopular democrat and incumbent governor is the least popular in the entire united states but at the same time you have betsy johnson, a former democrat coming in as an independent and not really liberal by the modern standards and not woke and got big backers like phil knight at nike saying he backed her because there s a picture of someone doing cocaine. what s illegal in that state is probably the plastic straw and sick of the madness. this is splitting the vote and giving the republican a serious chance and people once again they re sick of the crime and homelessness and drugs. like going to portland these days and a beautiful city like the site of the walking dead. laura: stay west but head down to the arizona senate race there. now, where are we there? rcp average has incumbent
The first thing Millersville University political science professor G. Terry Madonna admits he does every morning (sometimes before he even leaves his bed) is to check the averages on RealClearPolitics to see where the races stand not just in his home state of Pennsylvania, but also across the country.