not a lot of rain the next 48 hours. it s all west. the issue is the wind. everywhere you re going to see this red wind right there, that s 50 to 60 miles per hour. and that s just too much to get this. even with the ocean so deep and you get rollers not sharp waves like you get on lake erie because it s so shallow, you re still going to have those white caps all day on sunday and into monday. it s going to be unsearchable again. so using your scientific brain here, let s say this find this thing tonight. purely out of luck they come across it and now the search begins. tell me about the cone of uncertainty. how big do you think that search area would have to be given what you know about currents and gires and everything else. the currents spin in a big circle. there are five of these across the globe. north atlantic, south atlantic, pacific, indian. that would be the number four one here. the waves and wind has been pushing everything this way for the past couple of days. so if we
back, reverse engineer the current activity, the wind activity, and try to put it back in time 14, 15 days to where the aircraft actually entered the water. from that point, the other thing that s going to be a major issue, things like the flight recorders. if they remain attached to the structure of the airplane, probably are going to be some distance away from where the aircraft entered the water because the aerodynamic forces on the airplane tend to move things, but so do the hydrodynamic forces once it s in the water. wing is designed to produce lift and air. you put it in water it tries to do the same thing. it s just a much thicker media. so with the current activity conceivable we could move a lot of the stuff a long distance away from the airplane that went into the water. fluttering around down there. david what are your thoughts? search area air france off the coast of brazil started at 5,000 square miles. this has to be factors of that,
it connotes a sinister as peck to it. i prefer to call it a ghost plane. but we have seen things like this before. i know you guys have been talking about helios from 2005. that s a classic example of a pressurizati pressurization issue where the crew didn t realize what was happening fast enough to deal with it. in that circumstance, the airplane just once the pilots passed out, kept going to its destination, athens, went into orbit at altitude, and it too crashed after it ran out of gas. the thing here is, with all of the radical maneuvers up front, and the obvious turn that had to occur to put it on this direct south heading, that argues for something else. and in terms of a fire, i ve studied a lot of fire accidents. and literally every single one that has resulted in the
sink? the other issue fit was a wing you re also going to have vents that potentially with enough wave action you re going to start filling it. i d almost lean more to it being a collection of smaller pieces probably strung together with wire and some of the other materials. to some extent like what we saw with air france 447. david funk, this is the hardest question i m sure for the families to wrestle with. that s probably why they re rooting against the fact this might be a part of that plane they want so bad. this shows total devastation, right, if this is part of it. no one could have survived out there that long. absolutely. and if the australians were able to locate this particular piece, and anyone had survived, they probably would have spotted them in the rafts in the water by this point. as i mentioned today when i was on with mary earlier in the day, if anyone got out on the rafts, each of those rafts has emergency locaters on it. as soon as those things hit the water