because folks really just dont like the job that joe biden is doing as president. so if you look at joe biden s net job approval rating, what you see is in the beginning of 2021, plus 16 points. many more people approved than disapproved. jump ahead to october and december, what do you see? minus 10. many more people disapproved than approved. that s occurring at the same time where that large democratic advantage on party affiliation which was 12 points in january and march actually switched to a gop advantage of plus 1 in the passenger of the kaiser and gallup polling. what about independent voters? yeah, if you ask independent voters which way do you clean, this i think is the key nugget. which is, they are the swing voters. what you see now is in october to december, they are more likely to lean republican than democratic by plus 5 percentage points from january to march. the democrats had a nine-point advantage. very clearly independents moving towards the republican party.
it doesn t mean the democrats shouldn t wake up and figure out what they need to do here but it is a natural evolution. bill: reince, what about that? is it natural or as you look at history and the polling is it more dramatic than that? it might be a little bit of both. i think it is natural but i also think in this case democrats are doing everything they can to get every question on the exam wrong. if you look at 1994 give you an example where we had an incredible year as republicans the democrats started the year at plus 7. republicans ended the year at plus 3. that is a 10-point swing. in this case we had the democrats starting this year last year at plus 9. now ending at republicans plus 5, 14-point swing. the reason it is important isn t so much because of these seismic shifts it is important because in the most vitriolic
continue remote learning indefinitely and parents there are struggling with this decision. cnn s adrienne broaddus is joining us now. what went into this decision? reporter: it was a tough decision. and parents i spoke with are conflicted. one mom says she appreciates the district s desire to keep students and staff safe when it comes to remote learning, she says her kids are already behind and like this, they can t survive. put down 10 plus 5 it equals 15. once i m done with 7, i just count to 4. reporter: on a cold night in flint, michigan. how many in the one s place. reporter: this woman helps her children, 8-year-old kyliah. 10 plus 1 equals 11. yeah. go baby. reporter: and 9-year-old son google slides. reporter: with homework. then we count up to see what
but what i am arguing is that when you think of the justice in the longer term, clearly she at worst she made a mistake, at best she had intent and that jury convicted her of that. when you repeat a mistake over and over it s not a mistake anymore, it s a lie. it s not a mistake. the word otts is too nerdy. danny, let s talk about her sentence, when you read a maximum sentence of 20 years per charge that could be 40 years, 60 years, but then i talk to other legal analysts that say maybe two, three years. what do you think she s going to face? she s a first-time offend. reporter: first-time offender normally i d say when you take that statutory maximum which you often see reported because it s technically clue it s 20 plus 20 plus 20 plus 5 she s looking at a max of 65 years. normally i tell people throw that right out the window. the more realistic sentence may be closer to the u.s. sentencing
debt. when you talk about the number we shouldn t even talk about the numbers because it s all paid for. ment in addition to that, half of it is a tax cut. it s not spending money. it s a tax cut for working class people. dana, when a politician repeats the same word over and over again, i think he s probably lying. i don t know, there s a lot of politicians do that. exactly. and they re all lies. biden has lost 11 points in a month among democrats on his handling of the economy. one of the biggest problems is that president biden is pushing a $5 trillion bill that doesn t address the pain in everybody s feelings. so you have polling armageddon. it senator schumer s on pac showed that in the last five months, president biden, with persuadable voters went from a plus 5 to a negative 30. so, it s not going in the right direction for the democrats. and at the same time, you have the white house trying to woo