youngkin won the suburbs, by the way, we say 60% of the vote was from the suburbs. it s categorized, but by six points. just a year ago, also they made up 60% of the vote. joe biden won the suburbs by eight points. that is a 14-point swing in the opposite direction! that s the story of what we re seeing tonight in these two states. this is also a story about race, right? we talk about the suburbs, about 70% white. if you see a lot of these vote who have switched sides, some of the data is suggesting that this is white women who are swinging back and forth. so i think what we know about white college educated voters in the suburbs is that they are susceptible, with economic issues of course, but also some of these cultural issues as well, and you don t have a party in the democratic party that has
the murphy campaign said, the suburbs in the early part of the state, they believe a lot of votes are still out. when a campaign says that, you put it to the test. here is a democratic suburb, 37% of the vote in. a ten point margin for phil murphy right now. just to go back in time and look yeah. 22 points last time. so, now, that is a win is a win. he won in a blow-out, and he will take a close win this time if he can come back there. again, they talk about the suburbs of northern new jersey, this is the largest one. bergen county where they are losing. it s gotten closer up to 71% right now. i say a little closer, in a place that the republican was ten points lower last time, and phil murphy got 57%. let s go statewide. there you go, it s down to 22. down you to 22,000 votes with 70% reporting. so, still a lot of votes to count.
republican glenn youngkin is retaining his lead and expanding upon it as of this hour, glenn youngkin has 211,382 votes. that s 55.3% of the vote. he is 43,149 votes ahead of the democrat, former-governor terry mcauliffe. terry mcauliffe has 168, i m sorry, just jumped again now, it s up to terry mcauliffe has 173,192. glenn youngkin has 55.2% of the vote. terry mcauliffe, 44.1% of the vote. we just jumped from 12% of the estimated vote to 13% but glenn youngkin with a a lead at this hour. roughly 43,000 votes. and oh, we have more votes coming in from northern virginia. including from a very key county we will be watching aw night, loudoun county. again, one of the suburbs you come across the potomac river. you are into first alexandria or
not sure why that shape came in there. let me try to do that again. that was good, right? i don t think i could do that again if i tried. every now and then, i communicate with my but come down here. if we go back to the race for governor in 2017. you see that blue. yeah. so you come back to 2021. again, it s early but it s what you watch. right? youngkin has to rewrite the recent map for republicans in virginia. so that would mean are you competitive in virginia beach with about 20% of the vote in, the answer for now is yes. we don t know how this is going to play out. but this is why we are watching. over in chesapeake, we just talked to joe johns. you add up all the math there, again 6%. early in the night, the youngkin campaign you are thinking okay, we are starting to lay down some markers. early in the night doesn t matter. we have lived through too many of these. every vote counts but we have to watch it play out. but as you watch that fill in red right here, you are encou
fairfax. once, a reliably republican suburb. again, 45% of the estimated vote. let s watch throughout the night because you get some of the early voting, then you get the day-of voting. but terry mcauliffe jumping to an early lead. you look at that and you think okay that s good for the democrat. you go back in time to the last governor s race, though, and you see ralph northam winning the governor s race four years ago had a bigger margin there and if you look at the 2020 presidential race, click it up here in loudoun county, joe biden had a blowout. and so, that s one of the kwis we are going to watch tonight is glenn youngkin running stronger than donald trump. donald trump last year. ed gillespie four years ago. is he showing that republicans can make inroads in the suburbs? can t answer that question, yet. at the moment, he is competitive. if you pull out and look, again, this is the major population center. the loudoun county is the fastest-growing county in the commonwealth of v