the other reason they are using this tactic is to win back some ground among white women in the suburbs, the northern virginia suburbs where they ve lost ground on the education issue, that is the beating heart of the democratic coalition, without suburban women in african american voters, women in particular terry mcauliffe is not going to win the race tomorrow. ibly19 according to jeff is only mcauliffe is really down because biden s massive spending bills haven t passed yet. no doubt president biden saw lower approval rating now in the commonwealth and elsewhere is contributed to the sense of malaise among democrats, unable to pass an infrastructure bill, unable to pass a broader reconciliation bill, it definitely has contributed to lack of positivity about the direction of the country. ibly19 have you seen evidence biden s agenda is hurting democrats in virginia and elsewhere? when the president s job approval rating is 43% in virginia it is not helpful to democrats.
but in the last template of the governor s race, and el gillespie for several hours four years ago, jake, because it did come in first, he thought that he would be the next governor of virginia, but then the washington suburbs came n and the richmond suburbs came n and norfolk virginia beach, and this was a more republican area, but it is a pro democratic suburban area, and that what we will look at tonight. and going back to the trump map, he has been a curse on the suburbs and virginia the textbook suburban. and trump is the last republican to carry loudoun county. and if you round up, that is not competitive. and more populous fairfax county, 28%, and so trump has been a curse, and glenn youngkin believe hss he has cracked the code. watch down here, less liberal and more traditional republicans
him. 57% approval rating in february. this is the reuters/ipsos poll. 44% approval rating now as the virginia voters prepare for election day tomorrow. 51% disapproval of president biden. what does that mean? it means republicans are energized. it means independents are up for grabs. it means democrats are discouraged. for all the blue in the big areas where the people live in this state, that is why joe biden has had to do this in the final days of the campaign. he has brought in the president and the vice president up here in the northern virginia suburbs. the former president down here in richmond and the suburbs. the first lady, richmond and the suburbs, stacey abrams, down in the southeastern corner of the state. democrats need to turn voters out. they are nervous in a state they won by ten points just a year ago. so the democrats are nervous why? because youngkin does have a chance here. how does he do it? no room for error. he has to get this trump base. see all this red out her
democrats. mcauliffe has two problems, the education issue which exploded and become really a movement. again, in the critical northern virginia suburbs but the biden the recent fox poll said 60 plus percent of people think that either of those two bills massive spending bills passed that they will either not have any effect on the economy or make things worse. so this idea that passing the bill is somehow the cure-all for democrats, i don t think the data supports that purity but certainly the fact the democrats wobbling and unable to get on page, it has contributed to the idea of the democrats are divided, deflated m mcauliffe getting no help from washington or the president. laura: it is almost like joe manchin over there in west virginia, it is kind of wait and see how this plays out in virginia or is that kind of a goofy analysis? talking about the budget gimmicks today and seemed quite
mcauliffe is slightly ahead. if you go back to the 2020 presidential race and come down here to that same county, trump was more competitive. used to be a republican suburb county. it has trended to the democrats but the youngkin campaign will tell you if they can win this state tonight, they will prove it in places like this. we talked earlier if you come out to the full statewide map, i will come back to the current race in a minute. this is the presidential race. might actually be better to look at it in the context of the last governor s race and move this over. again, ralph northam won chesterfield county become lieu hot close it was, right? essentially, a tie. so this is one of the places republicans used to win. it s been trending more to the democrats. if youngkin is going to compete and possibly win tonight, it is going to happen like this. run it up out here in rural trump country, rural republican country and then compete in the suburbs. so as we come back to the race tonigh