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Transcripts For BLOOMBERG Bloomberg Surveillance 20240711

This is widely expected. This is the vaccine that was found to be 94. 5 effective in the primary analysis. There is discussion about possibly having some sort of meeting later in the month with the fda to make the approval. We heard from officials over the weekend that they are going to try to approve it in fast order. If you take a look at markets, not the response you would think, at least not much. Jonathan it has been the diminishing marginal rate of the additional vaccine news in this market that has diminished over the last several weeks. Equity futures down 0. 4 percent. Expectations are already so well anchored by the vaccine news weve had over the last several weeks. We are down 0. 4 on the s p 500. In the bond market, yields up by a basis point or two to 0. 85 on the 10 year. The news isnt this morning. It is the cumulative impact of the last several weeks and now it is shaped the forward outlook under a much better way compared to what we face right now in the here and now i

Transcripts For BLOOMBERG Bloomberg Surveillance 20240712

And tom keene on Bloomberg Television, Bloomberg Radio across this nation, one day to the election, and to all of you worldwide, good morning. An incredibly busy newsweek. After the election, weve got the fed, weve got jobless claims, and a jobs report on friday. We are really focused on the election. How do you from london see it. Jonathan elevated volatility going into it, and a breakdown in correlations. For markets, i think it is really tricky right now. Typically you would expect some inverse correlation between stocks and bonds. At are not getting at the moment. Difficult is really to assess what the politics actually mean, and to put together a portfolio around it. Tom we are going to talk to an esteemed guest about that. I got to ask you about the lockdown. We heard earlier this morning the exceptionally difficult weekend Prime Minister johnson had. It is government threatened . Jonathan his government is failing on this front, and plan has failed as well. His party, that is wh

Transcripts For BLOOMBERG Bloomberg Surveillance 20240712

Going to know where we are tuesday night. Lets call it less than likely. Maybe somebody can disagree with me on that. We will go into wednesday and may go into november to get to a successful outcome. Jonathan that is the risk of this market, and it has been for the last couple of months. The other issue this market is grappling with at the moment is the breakdown of traditional correlations. Last week was brutal for the equity work it the equity market. Youve got no comfort for the bond market. Tom bonds really dont move today. It is a higher yield into the weekend. A less than correlated market. I would note the absolute stasis in strong dollar. Dxy, that blended Company Index against the dollar, 94. 03. That is a strong dollar. Jonathan weve got to talk about the weaker euro over last week as well. The Economic Data in europe set. To get worst. We have manufacturing set to get worse. We have manufacturing pmis in europe tomorrow. Lockdowns in france, lockdowns in germany, and the u.

Transcripts For BLOOMBERG Bloomberg Surveillance 20240712

Forward today. I think lisa is going to talk about it. The last moment i saw as we wait for washington to awake this morning with the president nudging away from the republican reticence more towards the place of Speaker Pelosi. I have no idea what that means. After what we went through yesterday, we are littered literally we are literally monitoring when does the president wake up and advance his campaign through any actions throughout the day. Jonathan we understand there will be an interview at 8 00 p. M. Eastern on fox news. 1 3negotiations for me, the of the negotiations that really matters and has hardly moved, Senate Republicans and leader mcconnell. Where are they in this . Weve heard from mnuchin, from the president , from Speaker Pelosi. Mcconnell is on the sidelines. Hes the guy that finalizes that deal. Tom this is really important, and it goes to what axios said about the republicans really fighting for their lives, having to do with attorney general barr and all of that.

Transcripts For BLOOMBERG Bloomberg Surveillance 20240712

A simulcast on an important friday. So many days to the election, 25. Thrilled you are with us on radio, on television across this nation and around the world. I want to look at the markets as we frame up Michael Shaoul to join us in moments. Up 15 in a bid to the market. 3 below record highs. With that, some nice confirmations of good global news. Look at renminbi. Jonathan up on the week by about 3 on the s p 500. On ther chinese currency return from the holiday. The narrative has shifted aggressively, and in a short amount of time, from fears about a contested election to the potential of a blue wave. What we discussed in the previous hour is something we need to discuss in the next hour. How vulnerable is that newmarket market narrative shifting things around . Jonathan the Political Landscape here is most interesting. The president so far quiet on twitter. Hugely active yesterday across media. I guess an 8 00 p. M. Appearance tonight. You wonder what the president would be doing b

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