About President Trump and congressional republicans. I guess you are getting that body language from Mitch Mcconnell. But why is the bond market moving . We are at 0. 83 on the 10 year yield, the steepest back to march of 2018. We are pricing in stimulus at some point. Jonathan through 80 basis points. Wonder if, off the back of a move in treasuries, people start to talk about reflation all over again. Lisa i dont know that the underlying data is really supporting that. We will get a read at that with iea crude oil inventories. A report yesterday showed a surprising building u. S. Inventories. Many people are not consuming as as the covid crisis continues to spread. Meanwhile, today, i know you guys care a lot. We get a lot of fed speak. Weve got loretta mester, neel kashkari, tom barkan, randy quarles, and jim bullard all today. Every day it seems like they speak more and communicate that much less. We are going to hold rates low. The question is just the threshold to further stimulat
5, 6, seven major stories, are driving us forward. Simply an open question with all that is going on, what has your eye this morning . Jonathan the italian bond market. I know that feels a bit off the beaten road, but right now rallying aggressively over the less capital weeks. Look at the spread of btps to german debt at the moment. It is about 20 basis point. That was about 280 earlier in the year. That is one to watch in the debt markets. Tom bond price up, yield down. What is the why . Is it a flight to quality . Jonathan reduced redenomination risk, i am not sure we are completely there yet where we can say that this market now trades like a proper sovereign. What that means, we used to question how long some of these countries would play into the euro zone. The risk of redenomination, moving out of the euro and being repriced in a different currency. The fiscal backstop of a couple of months ago, even though it has not been fully implement it, i think that gave people some confid
Jump that that 49 increase is the biggest jump. On top of that, one point 4 billion worth of gains. That is more than double what you saw one year ago. On top of that, equity underwritings, huge gains. We will see how this keeps going on. They are seeing saying there priceline is strong. A different story than what we are seeing at the Consumer Banks that have seen many declines. Big in terms of ipo trading at goldman. How sustainable is that . Sonali as long as the markets are healthy, this can keep going on. Our sources are telling us the election can create a bit of a pause. The pipeline is huge for next year as well. You dont know when airbnb is going to go and there are a lot of unicorns looking to break into the public markets. When the ipos fail, you know that there is sachs waiting on the sidelines. Guy we are going to leave it there but we will continue the conversation. She will continue to brief us. Thank you very much indeed. Joining us now for more on those , baird is davi
As the seasons begin to turn, there could be more deaths and of course serious illnesses ahead. City, we saw the new york rate of positive tests at more than 3 for the first time in months. Lead to possible lockdowns either officially by the government or unofficially as residents opt on their own to stay home again. The Economic Data seems to be turning in our favor. We saw data with regards to consumer spending, Consumer Confidence. It is still a pretty delicate stage right now. Joe there are always concerns people are talking about, the lack of fiscal stimulus, the fact that we might get another wave with the virus. Gains inntinue to see Consumer Confidence. It is hard to see on this chart but it is the biggest one month sequential gain of this headline measure in 17 years. Right now, the arrows are still going up. Romaine if you would to be a glass halffull or halfempty, i should say you look at the idea that we have not quite recovered from prepandemic levels. This is a subsection
That broadly speaking if we dont get that, there would certainly be Downside Risks certainly through the channel i mentioned. Thank you cnn. Thanks for taking my question chairman powell, give us an update to the policy framework and repeated calls for this and this event, is the fed open to other parts of the economy such as income inequality and Affordable Housing we monitor everything we think is important in the u. S. Economy. In a broad sense, all of it goes into thinking about Monetary Policy you mentioned inequality so disparities in income and Financial Wellbeing demographic and racial categories, something we monitor carefully, inequality, which i would point to its a multifaceted thing, stagnation of nat the lower end of the income and lower mobility those are things that hold back our economy. They are the thing is we dont really have the tools to address those. We have Interest Rates and Bank Supervision and Financial Stability policy and things like that, but we cant get a