Look at the s p 500 at 2978, a 55point gain and there is the nasdaq the outperformer yet again, almost 2. 25 , 200 points, 9387 the nasdaq, not all that far away from last februarys highs, which our headliner says this hour is going to happen this year and not just the nasdaq so lets welcome in fund strats tom lee. He is joining us via skype tom, welcome back. Nice to see you again. Thanks for having me. Big call. How are we going to get there this year, tom you say 3450 is happening . Yes, and i think what really drives our view is that companies in the midst of the shutdown arent standing still you know, theyre reengineering their operations, learning how to be digital, run with fewer employees and less real estate so in 2021, as we exit this pandemic, theyre going to generate higher earnings on a lower level of sales and that means implied better pes. And thats why we get into july, stocks will start discounting that and were looking for new high hi highs. Youre looking for a vshape
Bank lets check the numbers and see where we stand the dow is off 1. 5 . 24,260 s p at 2900. Russell, all the way on your right. Its been a big out we are forming giving back about 3 today. Were going to look ahead to those earnings tonight but we have to look back to last night. You own facebook, microsoft. No wonder these stocks have been doing so well. They justified the it last night, didnt they they did. When facebook comes out and says ad revenues have stabilized, thats a very powerful statement. Weve had this debate is old tech tired or is big tech tired. Can it keep giving we saw their operating morals are fantastic. Apple may be the squishiest of all because they are directly tied to the consumer phones. I phone it im not doing anything with it so what . This is where you want to be you want to be in whats working because the companies are bilts to work. Its where technology is and where its going 5g as we talked about so many times. Funny you say that. Kramer said so Many Com
Money. Well go right to the boards today and show you a sea of red. Dow is down 600 points s p 500 down about 3 . Nasdaq, technology has been, as you know, a bright spot of late but thats selling off harder today. Nasdaq down about 300 points all right rob, good to see you, beard and all. Here we are in different place than we were on march 20th when you spoke about the pessimism being palpable in the market that we were in panic mode, as you said almost speaking that things needed to turn in a more positive way nonetheless, josh brown, ill come to you. The point i was going to make is there was a point in time where pessimism was palpable now were at a different place we have come a long way. The second day into this week well have our back to back down days if this holds today how should we be thinking about stocks here . Im glad you cut to me. Robs beard looks like it sold some kids fake id in an alley somewhere. Lets talk about that palpable sense of optimism. People that changed t
The nasdaq up 1. 3 , and the vix is at 52. Obviously it is going to be a volatile week. We have the 10 year yield at 61 basis points at the moment. Any number of things moving these markets. Guy i think in many ways, youre right. It is going to be a volatile week. We sibley dont know what is coming down the pike towards us. Is an ok opening. Considering the numbers we had over the weekend, considering what is going on, this is a very undramatic open. It is placid by comparison to what you couldve expected. A couple of exceptions, the. Obviously a couple of exceptions, though. Obviously, what is happening in the crude market is something to be paid attention to. Take a look at the contango in brent crude. It is terrifying. Take a look at btu at bdp yields in italy. There are problems still very much unresolved. Some of those problems exist here in europe. We are waiting to see what is going to happen with corona bonds, etc. , and whether europe is going to stick together. Youve also got
Thank flirks i didnt say anything i wouldnt want them to hear we have our Investment Committee today, joe, jim, jon, courtney, the president of luke capital markets. Brent is managing partner at requisite. You can stop the music now, right . I dont hear it hear music there we go thank you. All right. Lets see where stocks are likely to go from here whether its possible to have that seven week surge. The headline that the market stock had been reacting to in the last ten minutes, reuters exclusive. Trump xi meeting to sign u. S. China trade deal could be delayed until december as discussions continue over terms and venue. Market didnt like that. Yeah. But a blip. Just a blip because weve been basically going back and forth across break even all morning, scott i think what were doing going to address here is what would be the driver other than that that will be a driver if thats signed even if it is signed before december 15th for instance if its signed after f that, then weve got other