The dow coming off its first close ever above 30,000. Still down 180 a lot of focus continues to be on the socalled cyclical trade, energy, banks, airlines all pacing for their best month ever rob, its good to see you again. I come to you first because your note to our producer today really piqued my interest. The last three weeks, you say, were transformational. How so i think going into this, scott, we did not have a prospect for a stimulus plan it pivoted focus to the virus and the virus count really, really increasing. Since then youve had three months of very, very positive news on the virus front. Youve had an election outcome that appears to be more and more benign with the actions of the with the actions of our president elect. Specifically nominating janet yellen it looks like it was an outcome that was squarely middle of the fairway that was not too far left, not too far right. Really goldilocks like from my perspective. Now youre at a place where when you look at major pivot
Banks, airlines all up while faangs are taking a bit of a break. If you ask me whats the best Case Scenario for the market to the end of the year, i would say this whole narrative about how its like the top five stocks driving the market, i would like to see that come to an end and Everything Else play catch up and start to participate and that is literally what weve seen take place. We had a breadth thrust a week and a half ago where almost every stock broke back above its 200 day. We now have more s p 500 components that are up on the year than down on the year for the First Time Since march i think alphabet is the most recent performer but the faangs are not part of this the whole narrative out of the window that this is index fund money and only microsoft driving this is gone now you have a broadbased rally, not based on nonsense, companies have rising earnings expectations, almost every sector weve even got performance at companies that six months ago you could have made a case to
Good wednesday morning welcome to squawk alley. Im john for the with caro quintanilla and Julia Borstin well start with apple, a cost cut for Small Developers josh lipton breaks down the news for us. Here is how the new program is going to work its called the App Store Small Business Program it launches on january 1st and it does represent a big change here. Developers earning up to 1 million during the Previous Year will now be eligible for a commission of 15 on paid apps and inapp purchases, and that is half of apples Standard Commission apple says the new program will impact what it says is the vast majority of developers selling Digital Goods and services on the store. Tim cook saying in a statement the app store has been an engine of Economic Growth like none other, creating millions of new jobs and a pathway to entrepreneurship accessible to anyone with a great idea for investors this change is also important remember, the app store is critical for apple it accounts for an estima
Materials, industrials hitting new intradays. The small caps doing well. The russell 2,000 at the far right side of your screen. Jim, i want to know where you think we are now you have great vaccine news. Its consistently great. Were not that far from 30,000 on either day we have headwind tailwind. Each day you can make a tailwind case i can make a tailwind case that you have to buy the airlines right now. This norwegian cruise deal is done, you want to buy that group. I can make a case that you have to buy the stay at homes, the deep cyclicals, a case for the technology stocks. This is what weve looked for. Thats why i came in gunning for the armageddonists theres a fabulous piece out that covid did not rescue the armageddonists from underperformance and purgatory its time to call them out im asking all the panelists to call out the people who said it was the end of the world call them out. Well, weve gotten great vaccine news it sounds like to me youre saying you can still buy the cr
The move in Interest Rates, the impact, if any, it could have on that tech trade. Josh, ten year, 78 basis points, 30year highest since june is this going to be a big risk for that growth trade . Im not sure. It certainly could be. But heres the way that i think we want to think about this. If you go back to february of 2018, that is when the curve peaked, right . Then we had several scarce where we thould we would have a thought we would have a yield curve above those levels but were not there and every time we gotten to that level weve had a big fade what i do think is happening now that is notable, theres a big catchup under way, Small Cap Value is on fire Small Cap Value of 5. 5 over the last three days and large cap tech is not giving up much while thats happening it possible you could have both things working at once i still think that if you get the big cap tech names hanging up there toward highs and not serving as a source of cash and then you get this big catchup trade in the