Underlying economy, bad news being good news once again, with that idea for a 908 ilion dollar stimulus will back in washington, d. C. What are the fundamentals that matter, when do we have to see something positive in order to respond to it . Ofell, its the fundamentals 2021, pricing in that story later. If you are asking the stories of the fundamentals of the here and now mattering anytime soon, the data for this month, yes it matters for the policy conversation. We saw that on saturday. And meanwhile we do have other issues. Those talks in brexit are not going that well. We have that, trade concerns, harder line tactics by mike pompeo. All of these things are factoring in but are being brushed over by an incredible amount of fiscal support not only in the u. S. , but in the European Union. The deadline for the string stimulus budget deal today, there are some nations pushing back in the Eastern European block. Euro skeptics. The broader implication is that they will get something do
Thrilled you are with us on Bloomberg Radio and bloomberg television. It was not the surprise of moderna on the ratios. It was the surprise of how well they are able to get the vaccine out. That lifts markets up. Is a correlated left pop it is a correlated lift. Jonathan maybe the message is dont bet against human ingenuity. Keep the faith and the science. Last week it was pfizer. This morning, moderna. The efficacy rate, 94. 5 . It is where the rally is that gets peoples attention. It is not the big cap tech. The story that rolls up his smallcap america, and the International Value story as well. That is the great debate of this very moment, the shortterm problems, the issues across america, and the longterm hope that we get that texting. Tom lisa, what do we see we get in the vaccine. Tom lisa, what do we see in fixed income . We are not at the full faith and credit of november 9, but what do we see in ig and highyield, as we see yield up, price down . Lisa yield up with full facing
A little bit more u. K. What weve got today, Kevin Cirilli, our chief washington correspondent, makes clear when he is on after midnight, we are not going to know many of these outcomes. Jonathan we do better because it is shorter and it is cheaper. We hope wednesday morning we have a result. This market fears this could drag out for a long time. Sea, wem sea to shining are having a vote occur right now. We see a number of institutions already. How about the bank of America Stadium in the carolinas . Carolina playing at kansas city this weekend. This is the first of the disciples in west palm beach, florida. It is a beautiful church, ravaged by hurricanes over the years. Yet today, there is the peace and calm of voting. I want to make clear that within the punditry, there is a question. How big will the turnout be after 98 Million People choose to vote early . Jonathan the pundits everywhere, all the time, it is all about the turnout. Is massive. No one knows what it means. Equities po
Lisa is off today. Jonathan look at the goldman note, tom. Go over that. Tom roaring 20s from goldmansachs. J. P. Morgan talking about market nirvana. Lets look at where future are right now. S p 500 futures this morning, kind of chopping around. Positive. 7 of 1 . But here we are at 3567 and ldman coming out, tom, for 2020. Lut lets go with the year end 2021. 4300. 16 upside through 21. In addition to the upside in the year end. Jonathan again, its everybody readjusting hearing, yeah, its a vaccine and i know he likes the value and e. S. G. Its got to be more than the edical news. Jonathan a vaccine is a more Important Development for the economy and markets from the perspective policy of a biden presidency. This is historic for the market right now. We talked about it reapedly, this market is living in the ackhand of the 2021. The deterioration of the covid cases and a contested election down in washington, d. C. That has not been resolved yet and a senate race that has not been reso
Optimism come around the trade deal. I feel like i have said that before. We will continue to monitor. Tom we are going to monitor all day. The news flow is extraordinary. Kevin cirilli is ready to travel to nashville for that debate. That is tomorrow with all sorts of news overnight in the United States and frankly around the world. Just one data point we will talk about in a moment. Renminbi out to new strength. Right now in new york city with first word news, here is ritika gupta. Ritika nancy pelosi and Steven Mnuchin are moving closer to a deal on a new stemless package. Alysia hope she can get an agreement this week. That is crucial to getting a bill passed by pull losey hope she can get an agreement this week. Theh mcconnell is warning white house against a pelosi led deal by the end of the month. Trumps campaign has burned through almost all of its money through september. His campaign cut back on advertising in some key battleground states for a while. Department antitrust law