he s only at 257 electoral votes. he s 13 short. he needs some combination of these. co-do it with wisconsin and vau. that puts him over the top. you see the key there is going to be wisconsin right there in the middle because if he doesn t win ohio, and wins florida, wins virginia, he s probably going to need to have to win wisconsin. while we talked about the importance of the midwest winning two of those three states. if we also take you back now and look, if president obama can win without florida absolutely possible, but again, the key for president obama is going to be ohio. you have florida and virginia to romney. he s at 248, obama 243. colorado leaning toward romney. now give obama new hampshire where he is favored, wisconsin where he is favored. give him iowa, just 263. then we are looking on election night to that all-important
mike huckabee and governor palin also decided pot to come. among those who were there, they had a straw poll, of course. i want to show you past winners first. no one who has won cpac straw poll going into a presidential cycle in 1995, phil gramm, governor romney, no one who has won the vau poll has ended up being the nominee in the next cycle. it s history. so i ll show you this and we ll have a conversation. here are this year s winners. ron paul, ed rollinss, carried the day with 30%, mitt romney, 23%. you see the rest falling down in there. so it was a big event. does it matter? no, it doesn t matter. ron paul is not going to be the nominee. he has a dedicated group of people who will be supporting him, younger, very libertarian, but he won t be a viable candidate. romney may come in second again. that s what he did, came in second in this this poll, came in second or third depending on
list, ron paul, tim pawlenty and sarah palin, who got just 7%. let s bring in the company. there have been questions about how much influence the tea party will have in 2012, how much impact the freshmen congressman will have, but just as you look at what happened in new hampshire two elections essentially a vau poll andstraw vote for the gop chairman, do you read anything in to that about the relative power? i think they re a scar face rule of politics. he talked about you get the money and then the power and then in his view women. i think in politics you start with the campaigns and you say isn t this exciting and that s what everyone pays attention to. but later, you actually get the local party in-practifrom a vuk. you get the money when you build network has can last beyond one campaign cycle. everyone has their eyes on washington, but as you re reporting the other big question is whether they begin to take
show a cultural phenomenon with kids. john donvan looks behind the scenes of the ratings blockbuster. reporter: a quick look at some tv numbers. 60 minutes, 7.8 million vau viewers. the bachelorette, 10 million viewers. america s got talented 10.5. how does this little show pull in 12.4 million viewers? i know reporter: icarly. the story of a 16-year-old girl in seattle who makes web shows with her friends, sam and freddie. a show within a show. with a lot of the zany, of course. come and get it, nora. reporter: in reality, miranda cosgrove is 17. and a superstar, if you know which universe to look in. how are you dealing with actually quite gigantic fame? i ll go out and tons of people will come up to me. and freak out over the show. it s really cool. and it s exciting.
and forth as to whether he was going to testify, often saying he would, we re told that behind the scenes he is more back and forth, not quite sure if he is making that commitment. but at least he is taking a step and beginning to be prepared for such an interview if he decides to do so. and that would be of course something that some of his advisers warned him against. we had roger stone on the air a short time ago on anderson s show saying he is concerned that this is a perjury trap. but also concerned he might catch himself or be caught in a lie by robert mueller and the investigators. but the lawyers are taking the step of preparing him for sitting down with the special counsel team. all right. juliette, what does this tell you about the trump team s vau of where this is going with the mueller investigation? well, i give them credit for trying to precip the president, whether he is or isn t going to