Come on, jon. Theent an hour reviewing dynamics. Theres been a real deterioration. Mike Allen Publishing moments ago for axios, and he melds the two stories together. Hes focused on wisconsin and montana being those swing states with huge pandemic issues. Jonathan and yet, wheres biden and harris going to be this week . Biden in georgia, harris in texas. Who would have thought that was to the election, those are the two places they would be. Tom georgia has really been front and center. Londonitical analyst in Francine Lacqua mentions she is focused on george as well. Jonathan new restrictions across the continent, and what are we not talking about this morning . We are not talking about stimulus conversations. This market adjusting lower. Lisa perhaps you can blame the fact that we havent gotten a fiscal deal. Week, wasch a huge andt days to the election, the data does stay pretty soft. 10 00 a. M. , we are getting u. S. Newhome sales. Expect deceleration in the full number based not
Really settle this morning. Ive got to go right to the deepest market exchange. The Dollar Strength is really resilient. Jonathan the treasury marketjonathan not doing what the treasury market would typically do in an equity downdraft. So many people have come on this show talking about it. There it is, the 10 year yield doing nothing. Your yield, 0. 67 . You could clip that, repeat it, and it would have been true for the last five days. Tom when you intrude into market spaces, markets dont give you signals. Ive been surprised by it. The completeness of the bond market and this lethargy has been extraordinary. It is where the bond market gives up giving signals. Jonathan the data 90 minutes away in america. Lisa we get a sense of how much momentum is flowing down in the u. S. We get the latest reading on initial jobless claims in the United States, and continuing claims as well. More discussion from jay powell and steven mnuchin, asking for more fiscal support from washington. The mark
To break trump has yet the stimulus long gem. Softbank backs the virus handed record losses in may at a drop of the value, some may change with earnings later. Lets get a quick check of how the markets are trading. We are seeing u. S. Futures under a little bit of pressure, down 1 10 of 1 . We have President Trumps executive actions on stimulus measures boosting sentiment. That weighed in indices. The s p 500 saw the highest close in sixmonth in the longest winning streak since 2017. Aska futures at the moment japan comes back from mountain day holiday. I mentioned softbank earnings coming back later. The japanese yen Holding Around the weakest in more than two weeks. The bloomberg dollar index unchanged at the moment. This after it touched a oneweek high. Watch out for some data this morning. We are getting south koreas 10 day trade data. We are getting japan numbers, not to mention singapores final gdp numbers. Crude headed towards 42 a barrel after gaining the most in a week after s
Steve engle at Standard Chartered with a blistering note about the fed minutes being reinterpreted. Weve got some breaking news. I dont know if you see it there i home in london, but this is critical. Alone,leaves the rate and we get turkish weakness of that headline. Mr. Erdogan simply doesnt want to raise rates, does he . Anna absolutely. They are leaving their oneweek repo rate. The big picture here is that many economists saw this coming, but also thought the Turkish Central Bank should hike rates because the Interest Rate in turkey is well below inflation, and that kind of makes turkey stand out on a number of measures. They are also spending fx reserves to try and prop up that lira. We were talking about a turkish crisis back in 2018. The lira is weaker now than it was then. We will talk more about emerging markets later in the program. Lira has been stronger the last one he for hours. It weakens demonstrably off of this leaving of rates. Right now, i can do the data check right
It is almost jarring. Back monday. Alongside lisa abramowicz, im jonathan ferro. Tom actually dropped me a message this morning at about 4 00 a. M. , looking at the price action and this rotation we have seen. I think its got everyones attention. Weve had a fake after head fake. Is it real this time around . Lisa every investor we speak to says buy any dip. Buy the big tex stocks on any dip whatsoever the big tech stocks on any dip whatsoever. Now people are going back into them. You have to wonder what it would take to make people truly believe in the cyclical story. It has to come from the data. Data just isnt there. Jonathan i think you have to get a lift in treasury yields. That takes Economic Data and real improvement. That is where thanks stalled in early june. Lisa i will also say the reason why tom keene was messaging you at 4 00 a. M. Is because he doesnt want to actually move up on floor. If i had to move, i would also be procrastinating. Jonathan are you joking about this .