Snowfall is key to water supply and the economy, which is dependent on agriculture. That apart, snow is part of Kashmir’s identity, culture and lifestyle.
Chillai Bachha is expected to make a soft start and remain mild till the fag end. An active western disturbance is anticipated between 27thFeb and 01stMar. This may give a parting gift of rain and snow to the 'baby cold, officially ending on 01stMarch.
Chillai Khurd which is the next phase of winters for the Kashmir Valley will be welcomed by a Fresh Western Disturbance that will break the chain of intense cold weather in view of some rains and snow, rise in temperatures etc.
A pair of western disturbance will arrive between 16-17Jan and 18-19Jan 2022. Both these weather systems are not strong enough to lay sheet of white blanket everywhere, but still good to cause rain and snow in the mid and higher reaches.