thing. i m wondering if this isn t one of those issues that gets poem motivated, that s got people to go out and register to vote, and if you re talking about a one or two point difference in north carolina, in georgia, in pennsylvania, in ohio, in wisconsin, in nevada. if in some of those states it isn t enough to move them either one or two points towards the democrats. listen, all due respect to the new york times, but i don t see the senate races breaking red at this moment. i mean, i think this is a significant amount of bedwetting on the part of some democratic consultants that you and i be talking to. i mean, who thought we were going to be a jump ball in north carolina. who thought that we would be this close in ohio before this all began. and, you know, katherine cortez masto, everybody acts like that s a done deal. it s not. that is an even race. it is a 50/50 race, and she is a
against election workers. we begin tonight with the midterm elections. now just 19 days away. but here s the thing. for many americans, election day is not the only day to vote. in several states like california, arizona, and georgia, the election has already begun. 46 states offer early in-person voting. and when it comes to early voting in the modern era t is democrats as well as younger voters and black voters that tend to vote this way. while older and republican voters have traditionally relied more heavily on absentee voting. while election day voting has historically been more of a jump ball. that s why republican states keep trying to mess with early voting. why they re fixated on limiting or flat out terminating early in-person voting on sundays, a move aimed at black churches that conduct souls to the polls events after service, and why republican so-called voting reform has almost always left
if they ran the table they could get 55 seats. same thing for the democrats. actually democrats would have 54 if they run the table. the most realistic is republicans get 51 and democrats 49. i still call it a jump ball. harris: the same polling shows voters care more about economic issues. you don t need a poll for that. than they do for social ones. this is really bad news for democrats. they were banking on something different. inflation, crime, elections, jobs and immigration taking the first five spots for the mid-terms. i have had democrats tell me that the pickup for them in intensity they thought for voters was around abortion with roe v. wade at the u.s. supreme court level. they were really looking at that uptick and looking at gas prices coming down and helping out the president. you called it going from
i didn t mean to. harris: okay. what do you take away from that? i can t wait to watch that clip the day after the election. it was a foolish thing for the speaker to say. the democrats have no chance of keeping the house. when we look back on this summer and the little blip where joe biden s polling numbers went from miserable to poor. they went from the mid to low 30s. it is true. that s the trend they went on. i think we ll look back and say the democratic trend was happily exaggerated by the mainstream media. the fundamentals of this election remain intact. the republicans will take the house, a 50/50 lineup to the senate. harris: you think it holds at 50/50? even though what is going on in wisconsin where johnson is pulling ahead and fetterman is falling behind of oz? i think it s a 50/50. jump ball in the senate.
this is sort of an unprecedented midterm by every historical account this should be a devastating election for democrats. but the ground seems to be shifting under people s feet as we speak and more competitive midterm than history tells us it should be. i think there are a lest different scenarios that could play out. i think it is difficult for democrats to hold on to the house. but i will say, they are looking for competitive and more house races than a few months ago people had written off. i don t think it will be a large majority for republicans. in the senate, that will be the most fascinating to me, it is a jump ball. there is a scenario where republicans narrowly control it. and scenario it is status quo, and then where democrats actually pick up a seat or two and expand their