the former assistant u.s. attorney who weighed in on this issue in today s new york post. a very interesting column. first of all, it s very good to see you, andy, but you had said, i don t think that the justice department or the fbi want to prosecute donald trump on classified information or document retention offenses in light of all the considerable down sides to doing so. he said though, if the former president continues to asail the integrity of law enforcement issues, however, they might well decide only a public trial could show who was breaking the law and who was protecting national security. so it s kind of like a jump ball here. well, it is. and you know, a lot of the coverage, neil, that i think you just alluded to the main issue which goes to why we ll never really get this settled and everyone will go off in their corners and that will be the end of it. you know, they can t describe the classified information. that s the reason it s classified. if, for example, nuclear
good evening from new york, i m chris hayes. we have new election results last night, i ve gotta say, in the end of day, 24 hours later. one thing is clear than it is ever been. we are, right now, as i speak to you tonight, in a whole new world, politically. what s the future will bring, how the november midterm elections will unfold 76 days from now is obviously unknown, it is the future. but if you are trying to figure out what s the expectation is, it is basically a jump ball. it is a 50/50 proposition right now. and i am shocked to find myself saying that. i mean, truly! just a few months ago, it did not seem like that would be the case. and there were a number of obvious reasons why. of course, first, there is a structural factor. modern politics, it is a truism, the incumbent party loses seats during the midterm election. it dates back to the fdr administration, if not longer. it s the reality of our system of government, political
morning, this full memo from justice department lawyers back in 2019, totally detailing why then attorney general bill barr decided not to prosecute former president trump after the mueller investigation. speak to the significance, what stands out from the memo and i wonder if you agree with nyu law professor ryan goodman who told the new york times this is a get out of jail free card. he sees this as sort of shocking. i do think it is shocking. i will say that what it really is, it looks to me like the former attorney general, you know, here being advised by former law school classmate of mine, basically to turning themselves in knots trying to find excuses not to charge the former president with obstruction. and it is interesting because mueller left this as a jump ball. he said mueller said, look, i can t charge him now anyway, is i won t make a decision.
which meant when the comparison took effect, even though they didn t like the economy, were upset about inflation, and there were some things about biden they didn t like, that the comparison between what the republicans stood for and what the democrats stood for, which really is fundamentally democracy and freedom as new democratic congressman ryan laid out, i think he ran the perfect campaign, which i hope other democrats pay attention to, sets up this situation now where the democrats now are the odds on favorite today, now we re a little less than 80 days out. odds on favorite to keep or expand the senate, and the house now is in realistic play about which direction i think it s a jump ball today, which direction the house will go towards, which two months ago nobody was saying it would even be close to a jump ball. and so if the democrats broadly run the right kind of campaign, talk about the big issues, talk about what really matters to the voters, which is this fear and threat
senate still, with us up slightly or the democrats up slightly. that very telling statement from the senate republican leader highlights an important fact. control of the senate right now is a jump ball. the history and the conventional wisdom will tell us republicans are expected to win the house, but what is happening in the senate is a different and fascinating story. and we have harry back with us to walk us through it all. harry, you re a betting man. i don t want to be in vegas with you. but tell us, what s going on in the house versus the senate. where are your odds right now? throw those dice. if we go over and look right now, look at the chance of chamber control. this really gets at it when we re looking at the next congress. in the house, the conventional wisdom is basically right. the republicans are still a clearly heavy favorite, over 80% to take control of that chamber. the senate, basically 50-50 at this point. even if, 51% for the senate is not something i think