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BLOOMBERG Bloomberg Surveillance July 11, 2024

Tom keane taking one final day off. This market ripping through the month of november, adding weight to the rally this december. Lisa up 1 on what . Nothing it seems ahead of this testimony with chairman powell and secretary ma nuche chin. Lisa tom keen is so upset hes still in triple leverage all cash funds had he to take the time out to start his own Cooking Channel on twitter which is what he seems to be doing over the past few days. There is a question how much good news is baked in. We have gotten some news about vaccines looking for approval. Yet at this point, you have raised this again and again, john, how much scarring is there from record numbers of cases of covid, as well as hospitalizations. The numbers keep breaking all time highs. Jonathan the numbers arent going to be great the next couple months. Thats a given. I dont know how much we need to see thats really going to weigh on people considering how well anchored their outlook is for 2021. Vaccinations could begin in a

BLOOMBERG Bloomberg Markets European Close July 11, 2024

Is come down really sharply on the brexit news. Walk johnson prepared to away. The pound is plummeting on the back of that. We recovered a little bit, but still down. 9 . 1. 12. E sterling is at in europe, the equities are rolling over, the euro stoxx the euro stoxx down. We have money moving back into of bonds, in the same in the United States. Lets talk about brexit. Prime minister Boris Johnson and the European Commission prime minister, set to start a crucial phone call starting about now. Could it be make or break . Pound falling sharply . The counseling sharply. Walk away. Pared to the real deadline appears to be eu summitahead of the on thursday. Joining us now, we have our bloomberg governments and brexit reporter. What are we expecting from the phone call with Boris Johnson . Reporter one of two things, either we get them saying we will keep talking. Think we could get an agreement here or this is the moment where they say, we should notkeep talking, so why into this now . We

BLOOMBERG Bloomberg Surveillance July 11, 2024

Behind, but what is important is the symbols along the way, and the number one symbol is the most unloved bull market since time began. You do measure the wall of cash on the sideline. How does that feel this dow 30,000 morning . Left out,very lonely, isolated, and i imagine some of it has capitulated. We talked about a tugofwar at the start of this month when we got deposited vaccine news. Overwhelmingly now, this market is looking through the nearterm risks into year end. I had a conversation with someone who suggested we could get a negative payroll sprint negative payrolls print for the next couple of months. It is an outlier call, but deteriorating data is consensus, and here we are running straight through it. Tom maybe it is a biden administration, the fed coming on, stimulus coming on. You keep talking about the russell 2000, up 11 year to date, and it has been a moonshot the last number of weeks. The nasdaq 100 lagging recently, up 34 year to date. 500 up 12. 5 . P for you, we

BLOOMBERG Bloomberg Surveillance July 11, 2024

The influencer jon ferro for you on Bloomberg Radio, bloomberg television. Got all of this going on this morning. I want to do the markets to start our simulcast in this hour. We will do the data check as we talk here. Spx up 0. 7 , and once again, the nasdaq less. Is the trend in place . Jonathan the trend is in place, and the small caps outperform. Many people, and the words of jonathan callup, willing to look of Jonathan Golub, willing to look at the forward outlook. Tom we are getting into all of the year ahead looks and all of that parlor game. D a fewwhat ferro di years ago. Forget about it, wait for march. Would you say the consensus right is cyclicals, materials, and small caps . Jonathan overwhelmingly it is the consensus. That is the story. The other consensus story as well is the weaker dollar. Socgen out to 1. 27 on eurodollar, year end 2021. We still havent got through those levels from late august. We didnt close below them yesterday. A little bit of weakness again this m

BLOOMBERG Bloomberg Surveillance July 11, 2024

Thank you for being with us on this simulcast, Bloomberg Radio, Bloomberg Television worldwide. Tremendous news flow wrapped around the details of a worsening pandemic worldwide, and indeed across this nation. Also looking at markets off the faxing news, futures up 10, dow futures up the vaccine news, futures up 10, dow futures up. New low on the vix as well. Looking at the calendar, everybody is recalibrating. Weve got a major house recalibration of the equity markets out moment ago. Jonathan at Credit Suisse, Jonathan Golub, they have a forecast yearend on the s p for the end of 2021 with a 12 upside. The 2021 forecast is designed to answer what the future will look like in the future. He makes the point at the end of this paragraph that the rotation into the cyclicals will largely be behind us, and they stay overweight on tech, also overweight on the financials. That is just a flavor of where Credit Suisse are at this morning. Tom the conversation forward, and i cant say enough on r

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