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Transcripts For BLOOMBERG Bloomberg Surveillance 20240712

Stories. Two turkey just crushed. Story, which you and lisa both mentioned, particularly since oppressor, bonds are going nassar gas bonds are going nowhere. The yield curve control is here. Outside of that, the equity markets are doing well. Materials surging off the march low not really disrupted with what has happened with big tech. That is just one segment of the equity market that has faced severe headwinds over the last couple of weeks. It is a big growth story. Tom a mystery enter friday and growth forward. Im completely distracted. You are going to have to save me. We need an update. Garrison sergio over the English Channel right now. I have got a much bigger announcement. Drumroll. I think we have got a birthday today. She kept it very quiet. It is a happy birthday for lisa abramowicz. Lisa thank you. Another pound is too strong to expect a gift from you. Jon i will do my best. Isa a pair of socks great depending on what this Consumer Sentiment survey is coming up at 10 00 sho

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Transcripts For BLOOMBERG Bloomberg Markets Americas 20240712

That is better sequentially and Beat Estimates as well. I should point out that july was also revised higher. At a monthtomonth basis, looking at an increase of 4. 8 . It continues the story of the Housing Market on fire, very strong. That is going to bode very well for home sales. We are even seeing private equity going into buying homes to rent them out. A lot of the news coming out from washington over the last 24 hours. Currently, we have President Trump and the first lady paying their respects to Supreme Court Justice Ruth Bader ginsburg any moment. We are bringing you live pictures, and we will bring that to you live as well. Meanwhile, the president refuses to commit to a peaceful transfer of power as the peaceful transfer of power if the tally shows joe biden as the winner. He spoke at a News Conference yesterday. Pres. Trump we will have to see what happens. Ive been complaining very strongly about the ballots. The ballots are a disaster. People are rioting. Do you can bi do y

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Transcripts For BLOOMBERG Bloomberg Markets Americas 20240712

Election that may lead on for a while. Jimthan joining us now is karen of morgan stanley. Lets start with that question on the election. So many things we have been told to care about have not ended up mattering. Is the election any different . The election will matter, i just dont know when. Going into the election, there will be some risk that needs to be taken off the table, but when we think about both candidates, what is the main driver for the Economic Policy . The pandemic. Do we get a vaccine, second lockdown. That will be the main driver. If you think about a bride and presidency, you have to see growth coming from the fiscal side, expansion. If it is a trump presidency, probably more from the private side. Either way, both politicians have a plan to generate growth. It is up to the voters to decide which is better. I think both are going to matter. The point that another person brought up earlier, if there is a contested election, thats a problem. Markets can deal with uncert

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Transcripts For BLOOMBERG Bloomberg Surveillance 20240712

We welcome all of you today. A most interesting day. Chairman powell to speak later on. He managed the message yesterday to say the least. I am thrilled to tell you, particularly those hammered by whiplash, a quiet data check this morning. , nottle lift in the market question. The vix with a 33 level, much better than the agony of thursday and friday out at a 44 level. Coming in sprightly and maybe take a pause. Lets view the Economic Data within the data check, which was a shock of the unemployment report, and then the huge shock yesterday of the nice rebound in retail sales. We had good conversations on that as well. Within that is what yield does. All in all i would say yesterday was remarkably quiet versus the gyration of the equity market. There is substantial news this morning. Lets go to our first word news. Here is ritika gupta. Jerome powell is sticking to his message that there will be an uncertain path to u. S. Recovery. He has the second day of Video Conference testimony be

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Transcripts For BLOOMBERG Bloomberg Surveillance 20240712

Most interesting across this nation, the uncertainty of the pandemic. Indeed, around the world as well. I was under struck the and delics of mexico, in india is in a crisis. Jon ferro, the sensor folds right into a fourday work week jon ferro, this intro folds right into a fourday work and a jobs report. Jonathan the low as 500,000. When you see a range that wide, it is safe to say that no one really has a clue. In deutsche bank, they missed the retail vshaped bounce we got as well. You get the feeling that economists are pretty much flying blind right now on each and every data point. Jonathan i would agree with that, but he talked about consumers and businesses selfregulating. Even if the governors, the local officials, statelevel officials dont hold that themselves, companies and consumers will, and we are already seeing signs of that in various states across america. Appraise fore a fourday workweek, it is all about the twoyear yield coming in. 0. 1602 . Wn to there is a ground in

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