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it is not if he were serious, he would, again, propose a constitutional amendment. it took lindsey graham to try to make it seem more serious. let s talk about beto o rourke in texas. this is to me at least the most fascinating race so far. here s a guy who has raised real barrel loads of money, a lot of that money coming from enclaves in and around new york city and other major metropolitan areas. he s raised a ton of money, hasn t led in a single poll, to my knowledge, and right now it looks like he s still outside the margin. does beto o rourke have a shot? here s the thing. i think one of the mistakes many reporters make is they get been there, done that disease, which is you go, well, democratic candidate can t win in texas. i think you look so you have to as a reporter look at the metrics on the ground. that said, it does feel like he may come up short for this reason. when i went down there, there s
states senate. they need a net gain of two, arizona is their best pick up opportunity and it s a question of whether they can pick up tennessee or nevada. if they lose a race that they already hold they need both of those and that s why it s a tricky hill for them. in nevada and missouri, if you re waking up this morning to this news if you are a democrat you are like, that s okay news. if you want your coffee spoiled you look at maybe new jersey and certainly poisonous coffee in north dakota. i would say i don t drink coffee, i prefer hot chocolate, but if you spill it still leads a bad stain. if you look at the polling in north dakota that s been coming out, heidi heitkamp hasn t led in a single poll that has been released since, i believe, february. if democrats lose there and this particular poel that out out from the local nbc station down ten percentage points. if democrats lose in in d that means they have to inn with the three races i just described, arizona, nevada and ten
virtue of being a republican in this environment. irony to joe hecht, hasn t led in a poll private or public since he pulled his endorsement of trump. huge problem. trump voters may be punishing him. i think that s a problem in other states as well. in pennsylvania, if you re toomey, you re trying to win there, you need some of those traditional voters. let s through these. illinois wisconsin, something is happening in wisconsin. part of me thinks, russ feingold a reminder that oh, yeah, he was a long term incumbent too feingold is his own entity, there was that new poll out today that had him up comfortably. if hillary clinton is winning the state by 7, 8 points, i still think johnson now the two races that have become mirror images of each other in some ways.
it s missouri and nevada. it features evan bayh. both are struggling. they are struggling under the same problem. you say by democrat of indiana, the residency issue, embarrassing questions he hasn t been able to answer. there s two examples in indiana, no problem, in the tea party, lugar in 12, the republican primary, evan bye it wasn t supposed to be this close. i can see it being a problem. missouri to me, that feels almost a better shot right now for democrats than nevada. that something happened there this is not trump relates at all. it s more competitive there. i saw a poll that put it at 5 in missouri. it was a state in 08. democrats good year they can get
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