We welcome you on the simulcast. Bloomberg radio and Bloomberg Television across this nation and worldwide. This due of news is just extraordinary. An important moment will be Lawrence Kudlow after the jobs report. But jon, i want to talk for a moment about the markets. Affected. Oeing come up 5 . Igit 13 on the s p 500 yeartodate, and the nasdaq 100, lisa has loaded the boat on the nasdaq, up 38 . This is a boom and great bull market. Jonathan record on the nasdaq, just off that on the s p 500. The market has ignored all of the bad stuff over the last month and held onto all of the good stuff. Does that change in 29 minutes . The payrolls report, the estimate for hunted 60,000 the estimate 460,000. Tom Kevin Cirilli talking about the enthusiasm to get something done. We will talk about that in the moment. I love what greg peters of pgim said in the opening credits, the idea that everybody is looking for every bit of yield. To me that has been undersold story this week about how other
The last 24 hours. Tom what is interesting is the microanalysis of france or germany. Interesting conclusions. Heres what matters. Hospitalization capacity and the number of deaths is front and center for the pros. Jonathan and for market participants, desensitized by the numbers, conditions by the experience of earlier in spring. Markets that if that markets go up, and if they policymakers step in. Tom it is real simple here. Yes, all of that is true, but. Lso noted, a society adapting stimulus may be, the adoption of a set of vaccines, but also corporations adjusting to try to better 2021. Jonathan lets hope we get some better economic data. 8 30 eastern, jobless claims just around the corner. We got from 3m this morning. They are going to cut 3 of their staff, 2900 jobs. This comes amid the concern, how much can we see these terrible pandemic numbers without longerterm impact on that future outlook in 2021 . At 8 00 a. M. , we are getting the rest of the opec meeting on out cuts on
Television worldwide, good morning. 11 days to go on the election. What are we trying to do . We are trying to get through friday. This is a serious time, a serious debate last night. This pandemic has worsened worldwide. The challenge of a 3 trillion deficits. The civility of last night was noted. Jonathan it was civil. It was muted. But stark differences on the outlook, particularly over covid. The president promising a vaccine within weeks, and biden focusing on the failures of the administration and the winter ahead of us. The Vice President talking about winning hope over fear. That really goes to one of the themes this week we havent talked about, which is the partition of economic america. Lisa the idea that the jobless rate perhaps is going down, but stagnant at one rate. We got those initial jobless claims. The number of permanently unemployed americans, frankly those around the world, is increasing. It is going to take a long time to remedy some of the scarring taking place.
Bloomberg television. Eight days to the election across the station, and those watching around the world. The confluence here this morning, futures up 33. I get it. At the confluence here of really grim news worldwide on the pandemic, along with major uncertainty on the United States senate elections, makes for an interesting monday. Jonathan i couldnt agree more. The composition of congress all about what happens next with fiscal stimulus for market participants. Playing out for everyone to see, the increase of infections in the United States and europe, and extra restrictions coming down italy and spain at a time when the economy was already losing momentum. Youve got an equity market that gets hammered. The s p down almost 1 . Say full credit, i hate to this because jon is only with us for a brief hour today on bloomberg television, but the basic idea i have is that you were way out front on this. P guess if i am an sa shareholder, im a little surprised off of where it was friday. L
Relationship as slackers take time off. Interesting to see just as far as going back to work, we are getting some data out of macys, showing betterthanexpected results. The loss not as bad as people expected. Are your banker friends getting back to work . Paul schools in many new jersey towns are opening again. I dont know about the suits, though. I think work from home is through the end of the year at the very least. Lisa it looks like tom keene and jonathan member and Jonathan Ferro have not gotten the memo with everyone back to work. Very much in focus is jobs. 8 15 or later this morning new york time, we get u. S. August adp employment change. Bloomberg economics saying it will show a modest gain before things start to sour a little bit more. 10 00 a. M. , july factory orders, as well as durable goods orders. Interesting to see if we get any sign of Capital Investment by companies. At 2 00 p. M. , the fed releasing its september beige book, called the beige book because it is usua