‘Monsoon has a way of its own, can beat the best models at any given time’
April 14, 2021
GP Sharma, President, Meteorology and Climate Change, Skymet Weather×
There is no clue as to which area might come under the shortfall area since no two monsoons are the same, says GP Sharma of Skymet Weather The Indian monsoon has got a way of its own that manifests in the most unpredictable way it has behaved from time to time. It continues to beat the best predictions made by the choicest of models, forcing the protagonists to go back to the drawing board, hoping for the best next time.
Monsoon to be healthy normal this year: Skymet
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Last Updated: Apr 13, 2021, 03:00 PM IST
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He added that there is 60 per cent probability of a normal monsoon and 15 per cent probability of above normal rainfall. Monsoon in the range of 96-104 of the LPA is considered to be normal and 103 per cent of the LPA is on the higher side of the normal range. Sharma said 2021 will be the third consecutive year of a good monsoon. Last two years have recorded above normal rainfall.
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The Southwest monsoon, which brings more than 75 per cent of the country s rainfall during June-September, will be normal this year, Skymet Weather, a private weather forecaster said on Tuesday. G P Sharma, President (Meteorology) of the Skymet Weather said the Long Period Average (LPA) of the rainfall during June to September will be 103 per cent.