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BLOOMBERG Bloomberg Surveillance July 12, 2024

Speaker pelosi under huge pressure to jumpstart the stimulus talks. A lot of people saying that. Francine that will filter onto the markets. Lets get straight to bloomberg first word news. Ritika good morning. Republicans are pushing back against Donald Trumps refusal to commit to a peaceful transfer of power. Mitch mcconnell tweeted the process will be orderly, just as it has been every four. Years since 1792 also every four years since 1792. The senate also committed to a peaceful transfer of power. Democrats have started drafting a new stimulus proposal that could get past the house next week. Smaller than the package the house passed in may, it is still larger than Senate Republicans say they can expect. President trump said he will go as high as 1. 5 trillion. In the u. K. , rebel members of the conservative party are threatening to seize the parliament to block new coronavirus rules. At least 40 tories have put their name to an amendment wiping out the government majority on the

BLOOMBERG Bloomberg Surveillance July 12, 2024

Comparison to the United States. I think comparisons across europe may be a little more challenging to make and put in a positive light. That has certainly been the focus and the delay to locking down the country certainly was an area of real criticism for the government. I suppose this morning, we are also focused on what is going on near to you in terms of hurricane laura building across the atlantic and a ready to make landfall. We are watching louisiana, watching texas. We get this red headline across the bloomberg from the Hurricane Center saying laura is seen rapidly strengthening to category four hurricane. This is new information this morning. That is a big number. Hurricane 4 is much bigger than a hurricane 2. 4 is getting very, very serious. This is the acceleration north , west the gulf of mexico of new orleans as well. In new york city, always quite good with our first word news. On the second night of the Republican National convention, speakers tried to humanize President

BLOOMBERG Bloomberg Surveillance July 12, 2024

United states, and it is simple. He wants to get this thing done now. Jonathan he was asked specifically about some of the details in a News Conference yesterday evening. He took a sidestep. He is leaving the swing to secretary mnuchin. Weve got a real fiscal test, and yet this equity market is still doing ok. Futures this morning up 11. Tom it is an absolutely fascinating tape. Point, lisa is going to talk italy, spain, something. Look at where the vix is. Crisis over. Jonathan dr. Talk about the data 90 minutes away, initial jobless claims. To seehis will be key the deceleration, potentially even decline in job growth. At 11 00 a. M. , the other backdrop is the widening deficit in the United States. The u. S. Treasury set to announce their plan to set sales of debt. Later today, Major League Baseball is kicking off with a shortened season, the shortest since 1878. The think is against the Washington Nationals cardboard cutout fans. Jonathan it is the shortest season since 1878. Thats

BLOOMBERG Bloomberg Surveillance July 12, 2024

Chancellors statement . Were they in strong agreement with him . Anna he has a lot of support within the story within the tory party. Good morning to you, tom. Rishi sunak thrown into this incredible task of managing the u. K. Economy through all this. He remains very popular within the party. Interesting to see from the other side of the political spectrum, the criticism that he is not done enough. Maybe he is saving something for the autumn, but it will be crucial to watch what happens with unemployment. That we have an end mechanism for the furlough scheme that has done so much to support employment for this country. How much happen and will employment spike . Thiswere people riveted to , the statement at the beginning that the pandemic is terrible. Were people riveted to his speech yesterday . Anna im not sure that riveted is a way to describe it. Earlier, that dominated the day to day conversation, the conservative party stepping in in a way that you might expect a Labour Governme

BLOOMBERG Bloomberg Surveillance July 12, 2024

Been explored, and an investment like that or support like that would come with specific strings attached. And that would protect the taxpayer. Francine i know you have to go, but a final question of public debt. It is a huge deal now, bigger than the economy. How long can you live with that situation . When can you start paying down some of the debt . Rishi so we have absolutely this year to help us facilitate response for the crisis. Was the believe that right thing to do, and some organizations would agree with that assessment, that the situation longterm would be far tose if we had not moved now limit the longterm scarring on the economy, and it is the longterm scarring that causes structural deficit in the future, which we should be most worried about. Toemain very committed strong and Sustainable Public financing over the mediumterm. Right now the priority should be to reopen the economy safely, to drive the recovery. But of course what were are doing this year is not sustainable

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