to be requesting flexibility from the federal government with regards to essential health benefits. we ll see what the final bill looks like regarding community rating. to get out of the weeds a little bit. you just said everyone will not necessarily be covered to the standard that they want. i mean that is something that resonates with a lot of people. when you look at the numbers on this plan, it s something that disproportionately affects blue collar areas, the elderly, some reliable republican voters. are you concerned those voters are going to say this doesn t benefit me, this isn t the coverage at the level i wanted or i don t have coverage and they re going to send a message to you and other republicans? actually, the people who are most impacted are in states where they have one or even zero options that are left or going to be left under the individual market. so that s not choice, that s monopoly when you only have one
on premiums. i wish i had graphics for you, in 2018 under the new plan, premiums would be 20% higher than under obamacare. by 2019, they d be 10% higher. by 2020, 30% lower. and by 2026, 20% lower. there s a piece of math you have to understand here, however. the congressional budget office has been calculating the basic obamacare silver package as being a value of 70%. called an actuarial value. what they re saying is under the new senate program so many things will be taken out like the possibility of guaranteeing essential health benefits that they re taking it from 70% down to 58%. you don t need to know what the numbers are. except to say that you ll be paying lower premiums as you and i just discussed, lower premiums for less actuarial value, less insurance value. it s not an apples to apples comparison. either that the premiums are going up or going down.
conservatives will say it shows exactly what they re trying to do. if you reduce mandates like essential health benefits, affordable care act requires premium numbers start to drop. deductibles will be very high according to the cbo and there is a real concern lower income americans and americans just under the age of eligibility for medicare will face increased premiums, essentially price themselves out of the market. that is a real concern there. that is a concern republicans were trying to address in how they shifted the structure of their tax credit. the idea according to the cbo that did not exactly accomplish the goals they were [ inaudible ]. at least on the top line, on the premium numbers this is something you ll hear repeatedly from republican officials. this is something they focused on, they believe they accomplished this goal. there is more to it than the top line number but that is something to pay attention to going forward. for conservatives many who. been wary, wolf, y
states to waive out of the requirements for essential health benefits. there will be annual caps and limits on what s covered. there will be a return to discrimination based on preexisting conditions. there will be defunding of planned parenthood. so, the assault on women s health care will resume. and by 2026, the figure for the number of americans uninsured will be 49 million americans, and that will mean a shifting of burden, in fact, to the states. i will predict we ll see a massive outcry from many of the state officials, governors and others who will see in connecticut a billion dollar more. as you pointed out, nearly $800 billion in medicaid reduction. those premium reductions and those deficit reductions are at the expense of health care. that is why all the health care providers, docs, hospitals say first do no harm. what do you say to
done since 2010 which shows a majority approve of obamacare, or see it favorably. the popularity continues to rise while the gop plan is hovering at about 30% support. why would republicans vote on a bill that is widely unpopular. i think it s inexplicable why they are pushing a we agree that some of the the problem is a lot of that is on the essential health benefits, doesn t get to the root problems. the high-risk pools weren t working before, because they weren t structured properly, but if you set them up the right way, you can have a market that works. we re talking about 330 million odd americans, 170 million covered by employer-provided care, 60 million by medicaid. we have a group of americans who need coverage. we ve got maybe 2 to 4 million in that preexisting condition camp. we re the greatest country on the face of the earth.