They are cheaper. We will test 1 . The 10l get to 1. 2 on year. I dont see a resolution on the trade front. I think that weight will continue to weigh on the u. S. Economy. Back will have to come again. There has been a tremendous shift across central bank landscapes in 2019. How do you think that could happen . It probably couldnt. Lisa everyone ganging up on bob michele. We have more perspective. Joining me around the table is Marilyn Watson of blackrock, Matt Hornbach of Morgan Stanley and Subadra Rajappa of societe generale. Marilyn, i would love to start with you. Do you think that now that we have some contours of a trade deal, that we will seek 10 year treasury yields bleed higher into next year . Marilyn we have to see what the details are on the phase one trade deal, how much they will roll back next year, the impact for the rest of this year. It would reduce some of the headwinds if we see more stabilization. But i think going into next year where you had some of the we think
Underperformed. Joe i thought the fed would have to cut again. [laughter] japans u. S. Treasury holdings falling 28. 9 billion, the latest number here. 1. 15l by 28. 9 dollars to trillion. This is according to the treasury department. Nonetheless, japan remains on top as the biggest holder of u. S. Treasuries. Caroline lets dive deeper into our market reporters. At the close, what were you watching . Luke scarlet had a good reference with treasuries in the past. Lets look at treasuries in the future. We have a chart showing the 10 year yield in the one year forward yield. The difference between them on the bottom panel here. But we have got here is that throughout the course of the year, people became very much doubting around the time of the first rate cut and the time that the u. S. Dollar offshore yuan broke seven. A strong move downwards in the yellow line and purple line. That is when people started to think we are in for a global recession, world is over. Since then, you see thos
We have had six weeks of gains free u. S. And european equities. The longest run of gains like that in two years. The s p 500 hit another record on friday and we look to be on the front foot albeit in a muted fashion today. The seven that cut to day reverse repo rate in china which made the list in particular chinese equities. The 10 year yield dropping last week. We slid down from ed handel we had on november 7 and now back up basis point. What it will take to take us back up to 2 . A crucial few weeks ahead as weve had some positive news on andu. S. China trade talks Boris Johnson said all conservative candidates will back his brexit deal if he wins the december 12 election. Of course his party leading in the polls the moment. Coming up we will speak to u. K. Labour party leader Jeremy Corbyn. Dont miss out at 1 00 p. M. U. K. Time. We begin with evaluation target for aramco with saudi arabia to add as low as 1. 6 trillion per thats well below the much touted 2 trillion. It would all
Increasingly concerned. It is the economy. Jay powell fed chief jay powell holds where facetoface talks with President Trump. Warnings from within the fed. Rosengren eric morning policymakers against putting financial policy at risk. We will hear exclusively from him. And now, back to sophie for a look at australian markets. Higher. 6 200 is opening a2 milk leading the pack. Aining 17 after reporting better margin outlook. Checking in on the aussie dollar. Ahead of the rba. Still clearly and a focus for the currency. 1 ancks are adding on hour into cash trade. Futures Holding Steady in chicago. Lets see how we are sitting up in hong kong. Hans sang futures are under pressure after the rebound. Speculation that chinese funds are providing support for the market. Even so, there is some investor caution given they are rethinking their positions with the increasing violence in hong kong. We did have the hans sang in the hong kong index regain their 50 day moving averages. Lets jump to the
The hang seng at the moment. The two thirds of 1 . Lets look at what is going on with the nikkei. Market, we are seeing a move to the upside. A case of bad news and good news. Indicating they could institute Interest Rate cuts. Lets get to the other asset classes. This is where we find ourselves at the moment. It must have been quite a meeting between the fed chair powell and his boss, the president. It must have been. A yield to that has barely been budged in. We have been seeing them lurch higher. More uncertainty in the haven buying. Pence against the euro. That is sterling moving to six month highs against its european counterpart as the threat of a hard brexit recedes. Aussie dollar moving to the downside. Just under . 68 u. S. Where it istuation to the downside potentially. Theyof many are saying would not be surprised to see a 66 handle in the nottoodistant future. Then we have the Violence Center stage in hong kong. It is continuing. That continues to be our top story right now