Corporate bonds on track for the best returns in a decade, but how long can the rally continue . We begin with the big issue, markets betting low rates are here to stay in 2020. It is hard to see the yield breakout from here. Bond yields moving sideways. We cant generate any inflation right now. Still attractive but certainly not breaking out. 1. 20 by the end of the year. If we get to 1. 2 on the 10 year, we are looking at a global recession. We are going to test 1 . A lot of things have to be go incredibly wrong to get to 1 . Unless the market begins to price in additional cuts, the 10 year, at most, will drop down to the 1. 60 range. The fed will probably not cut again. If there is any weakness in the data, you will see an outsized rally in bonds. The path to least resistance has been lower, and i see no reason to think that will change in 2020. Taylor can we break out of the range set in 2019 . Joining us from new york are collin martin, peter tchir of academy securities, and in pa
Corporate bonds on track for the best returns in a decade, but surprising rebound. How long can the rally continue . Taylor the dallas fed president Robert Kaplan weighed in on the credit market, telling bloomberg we begin with the big issue, tv those tighter spreads might markets betting low rates are be cause for concern. Here to stay in 2020. B and bb credit spreads are it is hard to see the yield so tight. Bbb spreads are very tight. Break out from here. If i see the market is bond yields moving sideways. Distinguishing between lower quality credits and better trapped in this range. We cant generate any inflation right now. Credits, i think that is an it should eventually be a encouraging sign. My bigger worry is you have got good year for bronz bonds. Increasing pe, historically low still attractive but cap rates, tight credit spreads, certainly not breaking out. 1. 20 by the end of the year. And im just keeping a close eye if we get to 1. 2 on the 10 year, we are looking at a glo
Outperformance in credit. Corporate dons on track for the best returns in a decade, but how long can the rally continue . Begin with the big issue, markets betting low rates are here to stay in 2020. It is hard to see the yield breakout from here. Bond yields moving sideways. We cant generate any inflation right now. Attractive but certainly not breaking out. 1. 20 by the end of the year. If we get attractive but certainly not breaking out. To 1. 2 on the 10 year, we are looking at a global recession. We are going to test 1 . A lot of things have to be t going incredibly wrong to get to 1 . Unless the market begins to price in additional cuts, the 10 year, at most, will drop down to the 1. 60 range. The fed will probably not cut again. If there is any weakness in the data, you will see an outsized rally in bonds. Least resistance has been lower, and i see no reason to see that change in 2020. Taylor can we break out of the 2019 . Set in joining us from new york are collin martin, peter
Johnson forced onto the defensive as the debate turns its attention to the National Health service. Manus a very good morning to you. Definedl about the jgb the gravitational pull to the downside. Waiting on at zero, the option results to come through. Much biggera question about the stock of negative debt. Will that diminish 20. Good morning. Nejra good morning. That is a great question. It seems to be driven about what is going on globally. The prospect on the optimism of some sort of resolution to china trade. Something the move to the upside is going to be limited because where we are now is going to pull the japanese buyers back into the market. Manus absolutely. Lets look at the jgb performance. You have the 234 billion dollars stimulus coming into the market from the japanese government. Level way growth above what the market had anticipated. For the firstero time since march. Blackrock. I like a bit of dr. Copper. You know what i saw . I cant tie that together with a sub 6 grow
The Investment Committee is ready to go. The Halftime Report starts right now. Welcome. Good to have you with us on this friday our Investment Committee here today joe terranova, john levanthal, josh brown, and marc lasry is here. Lets fwin with the markets. Stocks extending gains, more trade optimism marc, good to see you again. Thanks for being here. Ill turn to you first were looking at the major averages dow is about 70 points from 28,000 what do you make of the markets in the here and now . Are you surprised we are where we are in. Yeah. Im very surprised, actually why so . Well, if you sort of look ate it, gdp growth is slowing down youve got issues sort of everywhere youre turning. And yet the market keeps hitting new highs. I think thats its great if youre an Equity Investor for what we do we need sort of the market and gdp to be around 1 to 2 . I think what we do, its great i think on the equity side, its going to be a tough year for the next year. You do . Why so because of g