Policy speech. The city faces rising infection rates and a clamp from beijing. Joe biden names his Foreign Policy and Security Team as he with to calm Relations International friends and foes. He says america is back ready to lead. Haidi lets look at the set up at the start of trading. We are seeing some green shoots at the open, about. 4 higher. Global stocks as well as asian stocks continuing to be on a tear. We are watching keenly for developments in kiwi assets, given we had the rbc releasing its semiannual stability report. This is pushing the kiwi dollar higher. U. S. Ashed through . 70 yesterday and we are seeing expectations of negative rates dissipate even further. Unlovedtors rotate into areas, it may not mean the end of things that have been successful so far. John praveen is Portfolio Manager for qma. He joins us on the phone from new york. We are talking about what happens to big tech given the rotation trade gaining a more solid footing. Is it the behavioral changes, chan
Corporate bonds on track for the best returns in a decade, but how long can the rally continue . We begin with the big issue, markets betting low rates are here to stay in 2020. It is hard to see the yield breakout from here. Bond yields moving sideways. We cant generate any inflation right now. Still attractive but certainly not breaking out. 1. 20 by the end of the year. If we get to 1. 2 on the 10 year, we are looking at a global recession. We are going to test 1 . A lot of things have to be go incredibly wrong to get to 1 . Unless the market begins to price in additional cuts, the 10 year, at most, will drop down to the 1. 60 range. The fed will probably not cut again. If there is any weakness in the data, you will see an outsized rally in bonds. The path to least resistance has been lower, and i see no reason to think that will change in 2020. Taylor can we break out of the range set in 2019 . Joining us from new york are collin martin, peter tchir of academy securities, and in pa
Others. An extraordinary year to look forward to. Thank you so much for being with us. Much to talk about in the next halfhour. I want to talk about your new effort, thinking about immigration and what it means. We must talk about the central bank. Weve got to talk about the markets. You have been the gloom cruise great pinata. Good times, bad times. We cannot possibly go up. Confounded off the gloom of last december, but confounded over one year, five years, 10 years to good and substantial equity returns. When does it end . Abby tom, thank you first of all for having me here for this discussion. Gloom at yearend 2019 in many ways set us up for a good start to 2019 in the markets. One of the things i am concerned about is just how happy everybody is as yearend 2019. I think what is priced into the market right now is an economic scenario that seems to be the most likely. No recession. The economy perking up a little bit. Corporate profits in single digits, maybe higher growth. It is p
David i dont consider myself a journalist. Nobody else would consider myself a journalist. I began to take on the life of an interviewer even though i had a day job of running a private equity firm. How do you define leadership . What is it that makes somebody tick . Before we get into blackstone, i would like to talk about a couple of other things. You grew up in a middleclass environment in philadelphia, and now you are one of the wealthiest men in the world and one of the biggest philanthropists in the world. The last three president s have asked your advice on things. And you are very close to President Trump. When you were growing up in philadelphia, did you ever imagine this could happen . Steve no. Dave do you pinch yourself every day when you think about where you have achieved your status in life . Steve every day is an adventure, and every day is a privilege. David you have come to know President Trump quite well in recent years. Did you know him before he was president . Ste
The world trade coming to an end. We have seen bond yields climb up. Have seen the u. S. 10 year moving out of the haven currencies and haven bonds. The yen seeing more weakness if you can call it suffering. That, bund futures seeing those yields go up as we see prices get sold off. Lets have a look at the first word news. Lets get to new york. We start with the reserve bank of australia. It is maintaining its glass thefull view, reiterating economy is emerging from a soft patch while also forecasting no acceleration in wage growth and inflation barely reach the bottom of its target. Growth oferly updated 2 , rising to 2. 75 by the end of 2020 and 3 in the year after. Embrace of virtual banks is going beyond its own shores. It says it wants to become a regional hub with advanced data expertise. Doing soauthority says will improve banking authorities at home. Managing director robbie menon says Southeast Asia presents a huge opportunity for virtual banks. We see some of these players be