the two challenges to defy history or at least be competitive in a mid term election. mobilize your base. no question. the question is get the middle. independents to come your way. so you look at the generic ballot. 95% of democrats say they are voting for the democrats. 96 of republicans say they are voting for the republicans. but the independent number evenly split is not good enough for democrats. it is actually much better than it was. and what has happened historically, even in 2006, the party in power loses the house and senate, they are losing independents by double digits. by 15 points, 10 points, 12 points. what is so confounding about the election polling is that democrats are doing much better
Having most Australian adults gather at polling booths seems like a COVID disaster waiting to happen. What measures are in place and how can you limit your risk?