any arguments in the economy isn t doing well even when we look at corporate america, and just looking at some of the jobs numbers. it s tough, i mean overall, if you look at most of the numbers they look really good. neil: we re going to rifle through some of the big ones but had we not had the meltdown in 2008 you could make the argument that john mccain and barack obama were dead even in the poll s. the meltdown happened, it was over, and so it was another reminder then and there are other years where your campaign ing at a time when things are good, and it makes it very very tough to counter that for people in alternatives to good. absolutely and it s an 80% re-election rate in the last 100 years for presidents running as an incumbent in a good economy so this is an up hill battle for democrats, and that s why they so badly want to make the case, that even though the economy is goodbye almost every estimation
it s very difficult to say because iranian elections are notoriously difficult to predict, but it s certain that the rouhani administration placed all their bets in one basket, the jcpoa basket. as a result they kind of put aside some of the social and political issues they to deal with t. now that it s failing and the economy isn t doing so well, they re facing a very difficult situation. the hard liners, however, on the other side of the spectrum have been consistently criticizing them for giving in to the americans and the europeans. it s likely that the battle grounds for the next election are going to be quite vicious, quite aggressive and the hard liners do have a leg up. ultimately it turns out they were right. dena, thank you. thank you. up next, who will be the next prime minister of israel? is it all up in the air? i will ask thomas freedman when
be a hard-liner? it s very difficult to say, because iranian elections are notoriously difficult to predict. but it s certain that the rouhani administration placed all of their bets in this one basket. the jcpoa basket, which was intended to free the iraniani n economy in order for the iranian people to get the dividends from it. as a result, they put aside some of the social and political issues they had to deal with domestically. so today, now that the jcpoa is failing and the economy isn t doing so well, they re facing a very difficult situation. the hard-liners, however, on the other side of the spectrum, have been consistently criticizing them for giving into the americans and giving into the europeans. so it s likely that the battlegrounds for the next election will be quite vicious, quite aggressive, and the hard liners do have a leg up, because ultimately, it turns out, they were right. dina, thank you. thank you. up next, who will be the next prime minister of israel?
this president does not have presidential leadership requires a backbone. this president doesn t have a spine and does not stand up for anything even when he agrees on it whether it be immigration, health care, the economy, it s just one more element that he has shown he s just not capable of handling. if i can add one quick point too, when we talk about the economy and that driving voters to the polls in a typical year with a typical politician, yeah, you would have those conversations about it s the economy, stupid, but a lot of the research suggests that a lot of trump supporters aren t voting for him because of the economy. they re voting for him around issues of race and ethnicity, culture issues and so even if democrats come forward with a plan to sort of counter that and even if we can sell that the economy isn t doing as well as the republicans would have you believe so vote for us, i don t
big issues. this happened last week even with the death of jeffrey epstein and he d start into tweet crazy conspiracy theories about this to distract from what was going on with the issue on gun control in the u.s., and this particular feud has a similar flavor to it. the bottom line is the economy isn t doing very well, projections are we may enter a recession by next year. that s not going to look particularly good for trump because we re seeing consumer confidence go down and independents were actually very optimistic about the economy when trump was elected and right now consumer confidence among independents is at an all time low. what we know historically is that for any president that enters a re-election with the last two years they ve been facing economic downturn or recession, only one has been reelected since 1900. since then the next successive four presidents have not been