John, to me the silence of this friday is the unemployment checks that will go away and the silence from washington. Jonathan i hope they are not looking at the equity market this morning. I hope they are focused on the highfrequency data and jobless claims. The recovery that we have been doing a victory lap on over the last couple of months. There will not be one this time around. Jobless claims are higher. Recovery is stalling. The economy needs more assistance. And congress is going for a long weekend. Tom so many things this morning and we will have a lot of different conversations to get you ready for the weekend. Lisa abramowicz, we all know in equities and commodities and currency, the bond market talks. It is speaking with a vengeance this morning. Lisa you are earning nothing on safe bonds. That is what this is telling you. Inflation will not take off. We are seeing record low yields. Almost back to its record low. I think you pointed to the most important yield we are looking
A whole bunch of other smart people set lower for longer. That is the message this morning. Futures up 19 but to me, the story is the bond market. As you know, those huge negative and persistent real yields. A range of assets and securities, it is interesting to see dollaryen breakdown. Still, equities are firmer on the day, futures up by 6 10 of 1 . We do this going into a battle down in washington, d. C. As long as it is just about size, we will have an agreement. These negotiations are now about thats great, but that means there is a timeline and i dont believe we have the luxury of a timeline because in the state of ,he economy, the unemployment the economic dynamics dont give you a comfortable august. Dont. Incentive to say we not negotiating until you negotiate. Right now, looks like new market is not picking up on it. There are some real nuances, maybe start off gold. Treasury yields down a basis point. Weve broken out of that sticky range for 0. 58 . The lows very much insight
First time since the lockdown in march. Michael mckee joins me now. What was your biggest take away . Michael if you are going to manage the virus better than the United States and their economies are opening up faster and stronger, which seems to be the case looking at the pmis. We got manufacturing and we got services, and all the Major Economies in europe are in an expansion. The move in italy particularly notable, above 50. Some down from preliminary expert, estimates, what they are the composites tell the story, all above 50 and they have all grown. The highest level in two years for the eurozone composite, there is some strength in the economy. They have not been hit as hard with the second round as the u. S. Has. Has moveds well solidly into expansion territory. Compare that to june, where contraction was the rule but services and the composite above 50, 57, a strong number. U. S. Versus isms, who is winning . Michael europe is winning. It is not expanding as fast as it appears.
Back to the office. Jonathan ferro, Lisa Abramowicz and tom keene. Justews flow this morning in this hour is extraordinary. We are going to take time with david coston on the equity markets. Just importantly, lagarde at the bottom of the hour. Ecbthan we will hear from president Christine Lagarde. The struggle continues to get a clean read on the u. S. Economy. Tom it is two worlds. Its about finance and Morgan Stanley and great. What its really about is we really lose perspective on the tangible hardship thats out there. Lisa we are going to get a sense of that with the churn in the unemployment numbers. We are expecting a decline in total filings. Are we seeing a significant number of increases in areas hit harder by the virus . Futures 22. 28. 82 the center tendency. Yesterday we spoke with Michael Holland with decades of experience. Is with Goldman Sachs. Just as importantly, what not to own. What do i not want to own right now . You want to avoid are companies that have a shorter
In terms of an after hours session for us it certainly is so many Earnings Reports coming out. And four giant Tech Companies among them coming up on this massive show, fresh off earnings this morning, an exclusive interview with david taylor shares hitting a new record high today. The company saw consumers stock up on Household Goods amid the pandemic and then at the close, well get earnings as sara mentioned from names like apple, amazon, facebook, and alphabet those companies represent some 40 of the nasdaq 100s total market cap that is all coming up today on closing bell. Lets start with the markets the dow more than 500 points intraday swings today. Now at the moment down by 200 points mike, an intraday recovery inspired by the european close this was soft. Once we got that behind us, allowed us to bounce a bit it is true. The markets absorbed that weakness in europe as well as, of course, the ugly economic numbers before the open. Also i tested the recent lows in treasury yields w