John, to me the silence of this friday is the unemployment checks that will go away and the silence from washington. Jonathan i hope they are not looking at the equity market this morning. I hope they are focused on the highfrequency data and jobless claims. The recovery that we have been doing a victory lap on over the last couple of months. There will not be one this time around. Jobless claims are higher. Recovery is stalling. The economy needs more assistance. And congress is going for a long weekend. Tom so many things this morning and we will have a lot of different conversations to get you ready for the weekend. Lisa abramowicz, we all know in equities and commodities and currency, the bond market talks. It is speaking with a vengeance this morning. Lisa you are earning nothing on safe bonds. That is what this is telling you. Inflation will not take off. We are seeing record low yields. Almost back to its record low. I think you pointed to the most important yield we are looking
Well. International relations and politics, we havent talked enough about the markets today. A risk on feel. Is the so interesting idea of finally, a shift away from the factor of Technology Toward the factor of smallcap, the factor of Something Else besides that point amazon. Jonathan for a whole two days besides apple and amazon. Jonathan for a whole two days as well. S p, days of gains on the within 1 of alltime highs. I wonder if that is one of the whys that they cant get it together down in washington because this market is giving them very little pressure to get some thing done. Tom certainly come a President Trump is hardwired to the market. Lisa, you mentioned earlier the idea of a highyield bond under 3 . Do you detect a bubble in bonds, or is it simply a reaction of outcome from all of the stimulus and fed action . Lisa i am not going to say it is a fed bubble. I have other people that will come on and weigh in on that. But when do relative returns stop mattering and absolute
Surveillance today on television, on radio. We welcome all of you worldwide, across this nation, where the linkage, the urgency that we see within our politics and our economics is truly front and center. Get out the calendar. I believe it is 23 july, and this is a nation staggering to the first week of august. Jonathan what urgency . It is sunshine and rainbows in the equity market. In washington, d. C. , we havent seen the urgency we actually need. There are a lot of people still out of work. This market is in a lot of pain, and it is not going to heal as quickly as we needed to. In about 30 minutes, initial jobless claims set to come in at around 1. 3 million again. We need to see much bigger improvement. Tom that will be a key statistic of the week. Rule number one in the equity market is follow bonds. I continue to see yield compression, lower yields and flatter curves. Jonathan sunshine and rainbows lisa sunshine and rainbows very much funded by real yield that is negative by the
Gold breaking out, comfortably three 2000. Lisa which is interesting because you are getting a risk off deal. You are getting a risk on feel. The private payrolls expected to have a modest rain at 8 15 am, not including the state and local government jobs, which are expected to state weaker performance. The financingget plans from the treasury department. At nine 45, we get u. S. 9 45, wepmi data at get u. S. Services pmi data. Jonathan lets get straight to the price action. We wake up from the tuesday snooze fest with some moves. The euro out to 1. 1834. Yields lower yesterday. This morning, up to 0. 53 . Thats the price action. The question of this morning in the keene household, in early september, tom keene has arranged for a day off. 29. 99 on spending mulan . Tom we celebrated the Disney Release last night by 2. Atching frozen not as good as the first one. Jonathan i saw the big news up front early this morning. The trading week does begin on a wednesday. The data coming out late
By the United States of america. You go out and look at all the speculation. I would suggest right now it is speculation about what china will do, but there is no speculation that they will do something. Jonathan there is a broader story to acknowledge, whether it is the economy and trade, whether it is foreign in the , the commonsea denominator is trust and the lack thereof. You see it playing out more in the last couple of months. Tom it is worldwide. SyrIan Duncan Smith was on. Ir Ian Duncan Smith was on there is a Global Messaging here about china and what to do with their economic and military assertiveness. Jonathan for the equity market, we are down just eight points on the s p 500. Market participants dont know what to do with that story. This has been the take away for the last several weeks, every time we see a headline like this. We come back pretty quickly. Lisa trade tensions were a tear bleed through into the economy. Result, an unclear less fuzzy result that we are is th