rise meant lower risk, activists could use that to try and press them into action. but while 1.5 stuck in people s minds, the science doesn t come with hard limits. it works on probability and risk. you can see that here, risks become higher, or darker, as temperature rises increase, but it s a continuum. 1.6 is more risky than 1.5, less risky than 1.7. every fraction of a degree makes a difference to the chance of negative events. this week, the new chair of the ipcc, jim skea, told german newspapers, the world won t end at 1.5 degrees warming. in doing so, he wasn t saying anything unscientific. he added a 1.5 degree world would be more dangerous, and every action taken to mitigate risks would help. but the comments were interpreted by some as a blunt message for environmental campaigners, by others as underplaying the risks to vulnerable communities. attempts to hit the global 1.5 target are a delicate balance. as our efforts to communicate the climate. let s talk now tojim skea,
to cross that in addicted our so, aren t we? to cross that in addicted our so, aren t we? ~ ., ., ., ~ aren t we? we are on a knife edge with the 1-5 aren t we? we are on a knife edge with the 1.5 degrees aren t we? we are on a knife edge with the 1.5 degrees warming. - aren t we? we are on a knife edge with the 1.5 degrees warming. our with the 1.5 degrees warming. 0ur colleagues working in the physical sciences tell us we will reach 1.5 degrees warming around 2030 or the early 20 30s, even in the most ambition scenarios where we cut emissions. in these ambitious scenarios, the temperature could come down at again a bit after that so it might graze or go over 1.5 degrees and then go down again. one thing, temperatures can only come down again if we remove carbon dioxide from the atmosphere. so the question of some kind of carbon capture techniques or carbon dioxide removal have to be an important part of the picture. fin removal have to be an important part of the picture- of t
said ou the future without a base in it? you said you are the future without a base in it? you said you are optimistic when you have seen and watching all the pictures from around the globe, even in recent days and weeks, are you convinced about that? that there is still an avenue to pave the way out of this? , , ., still an avenue to pave the way out of this? , ., still an avenue to pave the way out ofthis? , ., , of this? just to say, it this important point, - of this? just to say, it this important point, even - of this? just to say, it this important point, even if . of this? just to say, it this | important point, even if we of this? just to say, it this - important point, even if we were to pass 1.5 degrees warming, we shouldn t give up hope because we have still got mitigation measures to reduce emissions which are cost effective and will bring more benefits in terms of an impasse than the cost than the entailed. in that sense i am optimistic. we have agency over the future
roblem issues the planet is facing. the problem is issues the planet is facing. the problem is that issues the planet is facing. tue: problem is that although issues the planet is facing. tte: problem is that although we knew already that it is very likely that we are going to see the 1.5 degrees of climate change warming as compared to pre industrial average, soon, this recent report shows that there is an even bigger certainty that we are going to pass it sooner. so that is a problem. on the other hand, we shouldn t worry about it that much from the perspective that it is only a one time exceeding, most likely. however, we also know that we are likely to exceed the 1.5 degrees warming on a longer term basis as well. find degrees warming on a longer-term basis as well. basis as well. and tell us about the implications basis as well. and tell us about the implications of basis as well. and tell us about the implications of that basis as well. and tell us about the implicati
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